Kyle Schwarber holds a narrow edge in the 2026 home run race with 37, one ahead of Yordan Alvarez and two clear of Matt Olson and Junior Caminero, keeping implied probabilities tightly bunched among the top contenders. Alvarez's recent power surge, including his 36th homer on August 14, has sustained Houston's challenge, while Schwarber's consistent production for Philadelphia reflects strong plate discipline and favorable home conditions. Olson and Caminero remain within striking distance through elevated slugging rates and favorable matchups, with roughly six weeks remaining allowing for swings in form, rest, or injury. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, as small gaps in current totals and schedule strength leave realistic paths for multiple players to finish atop the leaderboard.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Kyle Schwarber 37%
Yordan Alvarez 31.6%
Junior Caminero 15.7%
Matt Olson 12.6%
$3,130,982 交易量
$3,130,982 交易量
Kyle Schwarber
37%
Yordan Alvarez
32%
Junior Caminero
16%
Matt Olson
13%
Ben Rice
7%
Munetaka Murakami
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
James Wood
1%
George Springer
1%
Aaron Judge
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
Kyle Schwarber 37%
Yordan Alvarez 31.6%
Junior Caminero 15.7%
Matt Olson 12.6%
$3,130,982 交易量
$3,130,982 交易量
Kyle Schwarber
37%
Yordan Alvarez
32%
Junior Caminero
16%
Matt Olson
13%
Ben Rice
7%
Munetaka Murakami
1%
Nick Kurtz
1%
James Wood
1%
George Springer
1%
Aaron Judge
1%
Giancarlo Stanton
1%
Juan Soto
<1%
Mike Trout
<1%
CJ Abrams
<1%
Shohei Ohtani
<1%
Sal Stewart
<1%
Elly De La Cruz
<1%
Jordan Walker
<1%
Eugenio Suarez
<1%
Brandon Lowe
<1%
Cal Raleigh
<1%
Pete Alonso
<1%
Rafael Devers
<1%
Shea Langeliers
<1%
Manny Machado
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： Apr 22, 2026, 12:12 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by the rules of the MLB. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the player with the higher slugging percentage during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, then this market will resolve in favor of the player with the higher batting average during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more hits during the 2026 MLB regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB regular season is cancelled, postponed after October 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no official leader declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from MLB; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kyle Schwarber holds a narrow edge in the 2026 home run race with 37, one ahead of Yordan Alvarez and two clear of Matt Olson and Junior Caminero, keeping implied probabilities tightly bunched among the top contenders. Alvarez's recent power surge, including his 36th homer on August 14, has sustained Houston's challenge, while Schwarber's consistent production for Philadelphia reflects strong plate discipline and favorable home conditions. Olson and Caminero remain within striking distance through elevated slugging rates and favorable matchups, with roughly six weeks remaining allowing for swings in form, rest, or injury. Trader consensus prices reflect this uncertainty, as small gaps in current totals and schedule strength leave realistic paths for multiple players to finish atop the leaderboard.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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