The deep and talented 2026 U.S. Open field at Shinnecock Hills creates tight implied probabilities around 50% for numerous players because first-round leadership typically hinges on one hot scoring round rather than season-long form. Course conditions, pin placements, and weather will reward ball-striking accuracy and short-game precision on a layout that historically produces scattered leaderboards after 18 holes. Recent form, rest, and course-history advantages are balanced across the field, leaving no clear pre-tournament favorite for an early low score. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing underscores how any of dozens of professionals can post a round in the mid-60s to seize the lead before the cut line tightens.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Alex Smalley 49%
Nicolai Højgaard 49%
Gary Woodland 49%
Justin Thomas 49%
Alex Smalley
49%
Nicolai Højgaard
49%
Gary Woodland
49%
Justin Thomas
49%
Cameron Young
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
49%
Xander Schauffele
49%
Robert MacIntyre
49%
Sepp Straka
49%
Tyrrell Hatton
49%
Maverick McNealy
49%
Bud Cauley
49%
Adam Scott
49%
Carlos Ortiz
49%
Laurie Canter
49%
Joaquin Niemann
49%
Tommy Fleetwood
49%
Jon Rahm
49%
Aaron Rai
49%
Chris Gotterup
49%
Justin Rose
49%
Collin Morikawa
49%
Si Woo Kim
49%
Wyndham Clark
48%
Ben Griffin
45%
Scottie Scheffler
45%
Dustin Johnson
41%
J.J. Spaun
30%
Rory McIlroy
29%
Ludvig Åberg
28%
David Puig
28%
Patrick Reed
27%
Jason Day
27%
Alex Noren
26%
Jordan Spieth
26%
Shane Lowry
26%
Russell Henley
26%
Keegan Bradley
25%
Lucas Herbert
25%
J.T. Poston
24%
Daniel Berger
24%
Bryson DeChambeau
23%
Michael Kim
22%
Sam Burns
5%
Kurt Kitayama
5%
Akshay Bhatia
5%
Hideki Matsuyama
5%
Viktor Hovland
5%
Min Woo Lee
5%
Jake Knapp
5%
Kristoffer Reitan
5%
Patrick Cantlay
5%
Ryan Gerard
5%
Harris English
5%
Rickie Fowler
5%
Jacob Bridgeman
5%
Cameron Smith
5%
Alex Smalley 49%
Nicolai Højgaard 49%
Gary Woodland 49%
Justin Thomas 49%
Alex Smalley
49%
Nicolai Højgaard
49%
Gary Woodland
49%
Justin Thomas
49%
Cameron Young
49%
Matt Fitzpatrick
49%
Xander Schauffele
49%
Robert MacIntyre
49%
Sepp Straka
49%
Tyrrell Hatton
49%
Maverick McNealy
49%
Bud Cauley
49%
Adam Scott
49%
Carlos Ortiz
49%
Laurie Canter
49%
Joaquin Niemann
49%
Tommy Fleetwood
49%
Jon Rahm
49%
Aaron Rai
49%
Chris Gotterup
49%
Justin Rose
49%
Collin Morikawa
49%
Si Woo Kim
49%
Wyndham Clark
48%
Ben Griffin
45%
Scottie Scheffler
45%
Dustin Johnson
41%
J.J. Spaun
30%
Rory McIlroy
29%
Ludvig Åberg
28%
David Puig
28%
Patrick Reed
27%
Jason Day
27%
Alex Noren
26%
Jordan Spieth
26%
Shane Lowry
26%
Russell Henley
26%
Keegan Bradley
25%
Lucas Herbert
25%
J.T. Poston
24%
Daniel Berger
24%
Bryson DeChambeau
23%
Michael Kim
22%
Sam Burns
5%
Kurt Kitayama
5%
Akshay Bhatia
5%
Hideki Matsuyama
5%
Viktor Hovland
5%
Min Woo Lee
5%
Jake Knapp
5%
Kristoffer Reitan
5%
Patrick Cantlay
5%
Ryan Gerard
5%
Harris English
5%
Rickie Fowler
5%
Jacob Bridgeman
5%
Cameron Smith
5%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
市场开放时间: Jun 16, 2026, 11:42 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the player with the lower score on the back 9 of the first round. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player that records more eagles thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records more birdies thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player who records fewer bogeys thus far in the main tournament. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 US Open at Shinnecock Hills Golf Club is cancelled, postponed after July 5, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if an official Round 1 leader has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source will be the official results published by the US Open website (https://www.usopen.com/leaderboard).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The deep and talented 2026 U.S. Open field at Shinnecock Hills creates tight implied probabilities around 50% for numerous players because first-round leadership typically hinges on one hot scoring round rather than season-long form. Course conditions, pin placements, and weather will reward ball-striking accuracy and short-game precision on a layout that historically produces scattered leaderboards after 18 holes. Recent form, rest, and course-history advantages are balanced across the field, leaving no clear pre-tournament favorite for an early low score. The wisdom of crowds reflected in current pricing underscores how any of dozens of professionals can post a round in the mid-60s to seize the lead before the cut line tightens.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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