Recent reports of Anthropic in advanced talks to raise $30–50 billion at a $900–950 billion valuation have reinforced trader consensus around a 600B+ closing market cap, with market-implied odds at 88.5 percent. The company’s February Series G round already valued it at $380 billion post-money, and its Claude large language model continues to gain enterprise traction amid rapid revenue growth. Analysts note that an IPO as early as Q4 2026 remains plausible given the hiring of IPO counsel and competitive positioning against OpenAI, though timelines could slip due to market conditions or regulatory scrutiny of artificial intelligence. The modest 10 percent probability assigned to no IPO by December 2027 reflects these accelerating preparations while acknowledging typical delays in high-growth tech listings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6000 亿美元及以上 89%
截至2027年12月31日未进行IPO 10%
4000–6000亿 1.9%
3000–4000亿美元 <1%
$298,166 交易量
$298,166 交易量
低于1000亿
<1%
1000–2000亿美元
<1%
2000–3000 亿
<1%
3000–4000亿美元
<1%
4000–6000亿
2%
6000 亿美元及以上
89%
截至2027年12月31日未进行IPO
10%
6000 亿美元及以上 89%
截至2027年12月31日未进行IPO 10%
4000–6000亿 1.9%
3000–4000亿美元 <1%
$298,166 交易量
$298,166 交易量
低于1000亿
<1%
1000–2000亿美元
<1%
2000–3000 亿
<1%
3000–4000亿美元
<1%
4000–6000亿
2%
6000 亿美元及以上
89%
截至2027年12月31日未进行IPO
10%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
市场开放时间: Feb 4, 2026, 1:21 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Anthropic’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent reports of Anthropic in advanced talks to raise $30–50 billion at a $900–950 billion valuation have reinforced trader consensus around a 600B+ closing market cap, with market-implied odds at 88.5 percent. The company’s February Series G round already valued it at $380 billion post-money, and its Claude large language model continues to gain enterprise traction amid rapid revenue growth. Analysts note that an IPO as early as Q4 2026 remains plausible given the hiring of IPO counsel and competitive positioning against OpenAI, though timelines could slip due to market conditions or regulatory scrutiny of artificial intelligence. The modest 10 percent probability assigned to no IPO by December 2027 reflects these accelerating preparations while acknowledging typical delays in high-growth tech listings.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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