The Bank of Korea’s August 27 back-to-back 25-basis-point hike to 3.00%—its first consecutive tightening since 2023—has anchored trader expectations for a pause at the October Monetary Policy Board meeting, reflected in the 71.5% implied probability of no change. Robust semiconductor-driven growth prompted an upward revision of the 2026 GDP forecast to 3.3%, while core inflation remains elevated at 2.5% and headline CPI is projected at 2.7%, above the 2% target. Governor Shin Hyun-song emphasized a gradual approach dependent on incoming data through October, including August-September inflation and Q2 nominal GDP, with the updated dot plot clustering around a 3.25% terminal rate by year-end. This data-dependent stance, combined with financial-stability considerations and a stronger won, supports the current pricing favoring stability before any further adjustment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于不变 72%
加息25个基点 24%
加息50个基点以上 7.8%
降息25个基点 4.1%
最新
最新
2026-10-21
降息50个基点以上
1%
降息25个基点
4%
不变
72%
加息25个基点
24%
加息50个基点以上
6%
不变 72%
加息25个基点 24%
加息50个基点以上 7.8%
降息25个基点 4.1%
最新
最新
2026-10-21
降息50个基点以上
$128 交易量
1%
降息25个基点
$278 交易量
4%
不变
$4,882 交易量
72%
加息25个基点
$1,052 交易量
24%
加息50个基点以上
$219 交易量
6%
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea’s August 27 back-to-back 25-basis-point hike to 3.00%—its first consecutive tightening since 2023—has anchored trader expectations for a pause at the October Monetary Policy Board meeting, reflected in the 71.5% implied probability of no change. Robust semiconductor-driven growth prompted an upward revision of the 2026 GDP forecast to 3.3%, while core inflation remains elevated at 2.5% and headline CPI is projected at 2.7%, above the 2% target. Governor Shin Hyun-song emphasized a gradual approach dependent on incoming data through October, including August-September inflation and Q2 nominal GDP, with the updated dot plot clustering around a 3.25% terminal rate by year-end. This data-dependent stance, combined with financial-stability considerations and a stronger won, supports the current pricing favoring stability before any further adjustment.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ET
交易量
$6,559结束日期
2026-10-22市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.The Bank of Korea’s August 27 back-to-back 25-basis-point hike to 3.00%—its first consecutive tightening since 2023—has anchored trader expectations for a pause at the October Monetary Policy Board meeting, reflected in the 71.5% implied probability of no change. Robust semiconductor-driven growth prompted an upward revision of the 2026 GDP forecast to 3.3%, while core inflation remains elevated at 2.5% and headline CPI is projected at 2.7%, above the 2% target. Governor Shin Hyun-song emphasized a gradual approach dependent on incoming data through October, including August-September inflation and Q2 nominal GDP, with the updated dot plot clustering around a 3.25% terminal rate by year-end. This data-dependent stance, combined with financial-stability considerations and a stronger won, supports the current pricing favoring stability before any further adjustment.
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the base rate resulting from the October 2026 meeting of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
The resolution source will be official information from the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board, including the statement or release from its October 2026 meeting, scheduled for October 22, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Korea calendar (https://www.bok.or.kr/eng/bbs/E0000627/view.do?nttId=10094301&searchCnd=1&searchKwd=&depth2=400417&depth3=400022&depth=400022&pageUnit=10&pageIndex=1&programType=newsDataEng&menuNo=400022&oldMenuNo=400022). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Bank of Korea's Monetary Policy Board resulting from its October 2026 meeting with relevant data is issued.
If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound.
If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of "Increase" or "Decrease" will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size.
交易量
$6,559结束日期
2026-10-22市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 7:06 PM ETThe Bank of Korea’s August 27 back-to-back 25-basis-point hike to 3.00%—its first consecutive tightening since 2023—has anchored trader expectations for a pause at the October Monetary Policy Board meeting, reflected in the 71.5% implied probability of no change. Robust semiconductor-driven growth prompted an upward revision of the 2026 GDP forecast to 3.3%, while core inflation remains elevated at 2.5% and headline CPI is projected at 2.7%, above the 2% target. Governor Shin Hyun-song emphasized a gradual approach dependent on incoming data through October, including August-September inflation and Q2 nominal GDP, with the updated dot plot clustering around a 3.25% terminal rate by year-end. This data-dependent stance, combined with financial-stability considerations and a stronger won, supports the current pricing favoring stability before any further adjustment.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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