Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting several Labour figures to position themselves for a potential leadership contest that could be triggered if 20 percent of MPs back a challenger. Wes Streeting resigned as health secretary in mid-May and publicly confirmed his intent to stand, citing lost confidence in the current leader. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham, the frontrunner in member and betting sentiment, is pursuing a parliamentary seat via the upcoming Makerfield by-election to meet eligibility rules. Angela Rayner and Ed Miliband have also been discussed as viable options, with the winner ultimately decided by party members and affiliated supporters. These developments have accelerated maneuvering around key policy divides and factional alignments ahead of any formal vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于$15,445 交易量
2026-12-31
Keir Starmer
24%
Wes Streeting
73%
Ed Miliband
48%
Angela Rayner
47%
Al Carns
41%
Andy Burnham
70%
$15,445 交易量
Keir Starmer
$6,801 交易量
24%
Wes Streeting
$3,398 交易量
73%
Ed Miliband
$207 交易量
48%
Angela Rayner
$579 交易量
47%
Al Carns
$1,358 交易量
41%
Andy Burnham
$3,102 交易量
70%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting several Labour figures to position themselves for a potential leadership contest that could be triggered if 20 percent of MPs back a challenger. Wes Streeting resigned as health secretary in mid-May and publicly confirmed his intent to stand, citing lost confidence in the current leader. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham, the frontrunner in member and betting sentiment, is pursuing a parliamentary seat via the upcoming Makerfield by-election to meet eligibility rules. Angela Rayner and Ed Miliband have also been discussed as viable options, with the winner ultimately decided by party members and affiliated supporters. These developments have accelerated maneuvering around key policy divides and factional alignments ahead of any formal vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 13, 2026, 2:50 PM ET
交易量
$15,445结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting several Labour figures to position themselves for a potential leadership contest that could be triggered if 20 percent of MPs back a challenger. Wes Streeting resigned as health secretary in mid-May and publicly confirmed his intent to stand, citing lost confidence in the current leader. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham, the frontrunner in member and betting sentiment, is pursuing a parliamentary seat via the upcoming Makerfield by-election to meet eligibility rules. Angela Rayner and Ed Miliband have also been discussed as viable options, with the winner ultimately decided by party members and affiliated supporters. These developments have accelerated maneuvering around key policy divides and factional alignments ahead of any formal vote.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is an official candidate in the next United Kingdom Labour Party leadership election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
“Official candidate” refers to the listed individual satisfying all applicable requirements and being officially confirmed by the Labour Party, or a consensus of credible reporting, as a candidate on the ballot for the next Labour Party leadership election. Seeking nominations, announcing an intention to run, or being reported as a potential candidate will not qualify unless the individual is officially confirmed as a candidate on the ballot.
If a Labour Party leadership election occurs, or the final candidates are confirmed, and the listed individual is not included as a candidate, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such election is scheduled, or the listed individual is not officially confirmed as a candidate, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the listed individual becomes the next leader of the Labour Party without any competitive ballot election, that will suffice for a “Yes” resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the United Kingdom Labour Party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$15,445结束日期
2026-12-31市场开放时间
May 13, 2026, 2:50 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent local election setbacks have intensified pressure on Prime Minister Keir Starmer, prompting several Labour figures to position themselves for a potential leadership contest that could be triggered if 20 percent of MPs back a challenger. Wes Streeting resigned as health secretary in mid-May and publicly confirmed his intent to stand, citing lost confidence in the current leader. Greater Manchester mayor Andy Burnham, the frontrunner in member and betting sentiment, is pursuing a parliamentary seat via the upcoming Makerfield by-election to meet eligibility rules. Angela Rayner and Ed Miliband have also been discussed as viable options, with the winner ultimately decided by party members and affiliated supporters. These developments have accelerated maneuvering around key policy divides and factional alignments ahead of any formal vote.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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