Trader sentiment on WTI crude oil (CL) end-of-June positioning reflects a tug-of-war between persistent Middle East geopolitical risks—elevating Brent-WTI spreads to around $6 amid Strait of Hormuz concerns—and building bearish pressures from ample non-OPEC supply growth and softening Chinese demand. Current front-month futures trade near $101/bbl, buoyed by last week's EIA-reported 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw to 452.9 million barrels, signaling tighter near-term balances. However, EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook anticipates downward price pressure into summer, with global inventories potentially rebuilding amid OPEC+ cut extensions. Key catalysts ahead include weekly EIA storage reports starting May 15, seasonal U.S. driving demand ramp-up, and any OPEC+ policy signals, all poised to sway market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
原油（ CL ）高于6月底的___ ？
$120,787 交易量
2026-06-30
90美元
57%
85美元
60%
80美元
67%
75美元
85%
70美元
90%
65美元
86%
63美元
93%
60美元
97%
56美元
95%
$55
94%
52美元
95%
50美元
98%
$120,787 交易量
90美元
$24,888 交易量
57%
85美元
$5,139 交易量
60%
80美元
$5,477 交易量
67%
75美元
$15,472 交易量
85%
70美元
$19,327 交易量
90%
65美元
$735 交易量
86%
63美元
$8,929 交易量
93%
60美元
$20,829 交易量
97%
56美元
$4,671 交易量
95%
$55
$2,810 交易量
94%
52美元
$5,341 交易量
95%
50美元
$7,169 交易量
98%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader sentiment on WTI crude oil (CL) end-of-June positioning reflects a tug-of-war between persistent Middle East geopolitical risks—elevating Brent-WTI spreads to around $6 amid Strait of Hormuz concerns—and building bearish pressures from ample non-OPEC supply growth and softening Chinese demand. Current front-month futures trade near $101/bbl, buoyed by last week's EIA-reported 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw to 452.9 million barrels, signaling tighter near-term balances. However, EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook anticipates downward price pressure into summer, with global inventories potentially rebuilding amid OPEC+ cut extensions. Key catalysts ahead include weekly EIA storage reports starting May 15, seasonal U.S. driving demand ramp-up, and any OPEC+ policy signals, all poised to sway market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
市场开放时间： Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
交易量
$120,787结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader sentiment on WTI crude oil (CL) end-of-June positioning reflects a tug-of-war between persistent Middle East geopolitical risks—elevating Brent-WTI spreads to around $6 amid Strait of Hormuz concerns—and building bearish pressures from ample non-OPEC supply growth and softening Chinese demand. Current front-month futures trade near $101/bbl, buoyed by last week's EIA-reported 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw to 452.9 million barrels, signaling tighter near-term balances. However, EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook anticipates downward price pressure into summer, with global inventories potentially rebuilding amid OPEC+ cut extensions. Key catalysts ahead include weekly EIA storage reports starting May 15, seasonal U.S. driving demand ramp-up, and any OPEC+ policy signals, all poised to sway market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
交易量
$120,787结束日期
2026-06-30市场开放时间
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETTrader sentiment on WTI crude oil (CL) end-of-June positioning reflects a tug-of-war between persistent Middle East geopolitical risks—elevating Brent-WTI spreads to around $6 amid Strait of Hormuz concerns—and building bearish pressures from ample non-OPEC supply growth and softening Chinese demand. Current front-month futures trade near $101/bbl, buoyed by last week's EIA-reported 4.3 million barrel crude inventory draw to 452.9 million barrels, signaling tighter near-term balances. However, EIA's Short-Term Energy Outlook anticipates downward price pressure into summer, with global inventories potentially rebuilding amid OPEC+ cut extensions. Key catalysts ahead include weekly EIA storage reports starting May 15, seasonal U.S. driving demand ramp-up, and any OPEC+ policy signals, all poised to sway market-implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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