Doug Ford’s decisive 2025 majority victory and January 2026 convention pledge to seek a fourth term have solidified his position as Ontario PC leader and premier. Recent polling shows his approval rating has declined amid expense controversies, yet no formal leadership review, caucus revolt, or resignation signals have emerged. Ford continues to appear publicly on trade and infrastructure matters, with the party focusing on its legislative agenda ahead of the next election. These factors underpin trader consensus that he will remain in the role through year-end, though any sudden health development or major internal party shift could alter the outlook.