The Jetten minority cabinet, installed in February 2026 after the October 2025 snap elections, governs with 66 of 150 seats and has shown no immediate signs of collapse or parliamentary deadlock capable of triggering dissolution. Dutch constitutional practice allows royal decree dissolution for snap votes, yet the new coalition’s recent formation, focus on stability, and the absence of viable opposition alternatives or major crises have kept the probability of an early end to the current House term low through year-end. Normal legislative cycles point toward the next scheduled elections around 2030, and fall budget negotiations represent the main near-term pressure point without indications they will force a vote before December 2026. Trader consensus reflects these structural and timing factors.