Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often exceeding 10–20 updates daily amid commentary on tech, politics, and memes, anchors trader sentiment for the August 3–5 window. With no major product launches, regulatory headlines, or personal announcements surfacing in recent days to accelerate or mute activity, the market prices 40–64 tweets as the consensus range at 47.5% implied probability, followed by sub-40 at 34.2%. Historical volume in comparable three-day buckets and the absence of weekend spikes or viral controversies reinforce this mid-range clustering, while thinner tails beyond 65 reflect limited expected escalation before the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月3日至8月5日？
Elon Musk # tweets 2026年8月3日至8月5日？
40-64 47%
少于40条 34.8%
65-89 18%
90-114 2.3%
$152,234 交易量
$152,234 交易量
2026-08-05
少于40条
35%
40-64
47%
65-89
18%
90-114
2%
115-139
<1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240以上
<1%
40-64 47%
少于40条 34.8%
65-89 18%
90-114 2.3%
$152,234 交易量
$152,234 交易量
2026-08-05
少于40条
$29,354 交易量
35%
40-64
$23,552 交易量
47%
65-89
$19,575 交易量
18%
90-114
$17,945 交易量
2%
115-139
$22,632 交易量
<1%
140-164
$14,818 交易量
<1%
165-189
$8,185 交易量
<1%
190-214
$6,641 交易量
<1%
215-239
$5,865 交易量
<1%
240以上
$3,668 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often exceeding 10–20 updates daily amid commentary on tech, politics, and memes, anchors trader sentiment for the August 3–5 window. With no major product launches, regulatory headlines, or personal announcements surfacing in recent days to accelerate or mute activity, the market prices 40–64 tweets as the consensus range at 47.5% implied probability, followed by sub-40 at 34.2%. Historical volume in comparable three-day buckets and the absence of weekend spikes or viral controversies reinforce this mid-range clustering, while thinner tails beyond 65 reflect limited expected escalation before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间： Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
交易量
$152,234结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often exceeding 10–20 updates daily amid commentary on tech, politics, and memes, anchors trader sentiment for the August 3–5 window. With no major product launches, regulatory headlines, or personal announcements surfacing in recent days to accelerate or mute activity, the market prices 40–64 tweets as the consensus range at 47.5% implied probability, followed by sub-40 at 34.2%. Historical volume in comparable three-day buckets and the absence of weekend spikes or viral controversies reinforce this mid-range clustering, while thinner tails beyond 65 reflect limited expected escalation before the period closes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from August 3 12:00 PM ET to August 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
交易量
$152,234结束日期
2026-08-05市场开放时间
Aug 1, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s typical posting cadence on X, often exceeding 10–20 updates daily amid commentary on tech, politics, and memes, anchors trader sentiment for the August 3–5 window. With no major product launches, regulatory headlines, or personal announcements surfacing in recent days to accelerate or mute activity, the market prices 40–64 tweets as the consensus range at 47.5% implied probability, followed by sub-40 at 34.2%. Historical volume in comparable three-day buckets and the absence of weekend spikes or viral controversies reinforce this mid-range clustering, while thinner tails beyond 65 reflect limited expected escalation before the period closes.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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