The account @khamenei_ir, which continues to issue statements and archival quotes attributed to the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has shown moderate but variable activity in early August 2026, including multiple daily posts referencing religious themes such as Arbaeen. With Mojtaba Khamenei consolidating influence as the new Supreme Leader amid ongoing regime tensions with the United States, the official account appears focused on commemorative or routine messaging rather than high-volume original content. Trader consensus splits closely between under five and five-to-nine posts for the August 7-14 window, reflecting uncertainty over whether any scheduled observances or institutional statements will increase output. Limited major events are currently confirmed for the period, though developments in Iran’s security posture or Shia commemorations could alter posting volume.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Khamenei # posts August 7 - August 14, 2026?
<5 45%
15-19 43%
25-29 42.4%
5-9 26%
<5
45%
5-9
26%
10-14
13%
15-19
43%
20-24
5%
25-29
42%
30-34
3%
35-39
3%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 45%
15-19 43%
25-29 42.4%
5-9 26%
<5
45%
5-9
26%
10-14
13%
15-19
43%
20-24
5%
25-29
42%
30-34
3%
35-39
3%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
市场开放时间: Aug 4, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The account @khamenei_ir, which continues to issue statements and archival quotes attributed to the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has shown moderate but variable activity in early August 2026, including multiple daily posts referencing religious themes such as Arbaeen. With Mojtaba Khamenei consolidating influence as the new Supreme Leader amid ongoing regime tensions with the United States, the official account appears focused on commemorative or routine messaging rather than high-volume original content. Trader consensus splits closely between under five and five-to-nine posts for the August 7-14 window, reflecting uncertainty over whether any scheduled observances or institutional statements will increase output. Limited major events are currently confirmed for the period, though developments in Iran’s security posture or Shia commemorations could alter posting volume.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题