Trader consensus heavily favors Tottenham Hotspur at 72% implied probability to claim 17th place and Premier League survival, holding a two-point lead over West Ham United (36 points) after their 1-1 home draw against Leeds United on May 11, which squandered a chance to extend the gap in the final two matchweeks. West Ham, mired in 18th with a -20 goal difference and recent losses including to Brentford, sit at 26.5% despite favorable home finale versus Leeds, but face daunting trips like Newcastle. Nottingham Forest (43 points, 16th) draws 33.5% support amid strong recent form (five unbeaten), hedging against potential slips in their run-in, while Crystal Palace (44 points, mixed results) and Leeds United (44 points, solid streak) trail at 25% and 5% as safer mid-table bets with Wolves and Burnley already relegated.