Trader consensus heavily favors a flu hospitalization rate below 0.1 per 100,000 for Week 31, 2026, reflecting established seasonal patterns where influenza activity declines sharply after spring. CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance recorded a weekly rate of 0.1 by late May as the 2025-26 season wound down, with national positivity and ILI metrics falling to minimal levels amid warmer temperatures and reduced transmission. Historical baselines show summer rates routinely near zero outside atypical outbreaks. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with ongoing low circulation confirmed through early August surveillance. An unexpected late-summer surge or major data revision could theoretically push the rate higher, though such shifts remain uncommon given current epidemiological conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于流感住院率2026年第31周？
流感住院率2026年第31周？
<0.1 91.9%
0.1 7%
>0.1 1.5%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
<0.1
92%
0.1
7%
>0.1
2%
<0.1 91.9%
0.1 7%
>0.1 1.5%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
<0.1
$154 交易量
92%
0.1
$89 交易量
7%
>0.1
$198 交易量
2%
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Trader consensus heavily favors a flu hospitalization rate below 0.1 per 100,000 for Week 31, 2026, reflecting established seasonal patterns where influenza activity declines sharply after spring. CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance recorded a weekly rate of 0.1 by late May as the 2025-26 season wound down, with national positivity and ILI metrics falling to minimal levels amid warmer temperatures and reduced transmission. Historical baselines show summer rates routinely near zero outside atypical outbreaks. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with ongoing low circulation confirmed through early August surveillance. An unexpected late-summer surge or major data revision could theoretically push the rate higher, though such shifts remain uncommon given current epidemiological conditions.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
交易量
$441结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.Trader consensus heavily favors a flu hospitalization rate below 0.1 per 100,000 for Week 31, 2026, reflecting established seasonal patterns where influenza activity declines sharply after spring. CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance recorded a weekly rate of 0.1 by late May as the 2025-26 season wound down, with national positivity and ILI metrics falling to minimal levels amid warmer temperatures and reduced transmission. Historical baselines show summer rates routinely near zero outside atypical outbreaks. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with ongoing low circulation confirmed through early August surveillance. An unexpected late-summer surge or major data revision could theoretically push the rate higher, though such shifts remain uncommon given current epidemiological conditions.
This market will resolve according to the weekly influenza-associated hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the United States, as reported by CDC FluSurv-NET for the specified week.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
CDC FluView reports the weekly FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate per 100,000 population to one decimal point (e.g., 0.1). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET weekly hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of the cumulative influenza-associated hospitalization rate, estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
交易量
$441结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus heavily favors a flu hospitalization rate below 0.1 per 100,000 for Week 31, 2026, reflecting established seasonal patterns where influenza activity declines sharply after spring. CDC FluSurv-NET surveillance recorded a weekly rate of 0.1 by late May as the 2025-26 season wound down, with national positivity and ILI metrics falling to minimal levels amid warmer temperatures and reduced transmission. Historical baselines show summer rates routinely near zero outside atypical outbreaks. This skin-in-the-game positioning aligns with ongoing low circulation confirmed through early August surveillance. An unexpected late-summer surge or major data revision could theoretically push the rate higher, though such shifts remain uncommon given current epidemiological conditions.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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