Trader consensus heavily favors no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 at 97.4% implied probability, driven by the containment of the May 2026 Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship. Official CDC and WHO monitoring through 42-day quarantines confirmed 13 total cases and three deaths, with no sustained person-to-person transmission or community spread after contacts cleared observation by late June. Andes virus, the sole hantavirus with documented limited human-to-human spread via close prolonged contact, showed no efficient airborne or casual transmission, unlike respiratory viruses. Sporadic rodent-borne cases, such as Sin Nombre in Colorado, remain isolated without epidemic growth. Historical patterns of localized outbreaks and current surveillance data reinforce low pandemic risk, though new rodent exposures in endemic regions could generate isolated clusters before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年汉坦病毒大流行？
2026年汉坦病毒大流行？
是
3% 概率
$18,361,304 交易量
$18,361,304 交易量
2026-12-31
是
3% 概率
$18,361,304 交易量
$18,361,304 交易量
2026-12-31
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 at 97.4% implied probability, driven by the containment of the May 2026 Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship. Official CDC and WHO monitoring through 42-day quarantines confirmed 13 total cases and three deaths, with no sustained person-to-person transmission or community spread after contacts cleared observation by late June. Andes virus, the sole hantavirus with documented limited human-to-human spread via close prolonged contact, showed no efficient airborne or casual transmission, unlike respiratory viruses. Sporadic rodent-borne cases, such as Sin Nombre in Colorado, remain isolated without epidemic growth. Historical patterns of localized outbreaks and current surveillance data reinforce low pandemic risk, though new rodent exposures in endemic regions could generate isolated clusters before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
市场开放时间： May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ET
交易量
$18,361,304结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 at 97.4% implied probability, driven by the containment of the May 2026 Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship. Official CDC and WHO monitoring through 42-day quarantines confirmed 13 total cases and three deaths, with no sustained person-to-person transmission or community spread after contacts cleared observation by late June. Andes virus, the sole hantavirus with documented limited human-to-human spread via close prolonged contact, showed no efficient airborne or casual transmission, unlike respiratory viruses. Sporadic rodent-borne cases, such as Sin Nombre in Colorado, remain isolated without epidemic growth. Historical patterns of localized outbreaks and current surveillance data reinforce low pandemic risk, though new rodent exposures in endemic regions could generate isolated clusters before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the World Health Organization explicitly characterizes Hantavirus, Hantavirus Pulmonary Syndrome (HPS), Hemorrhagic Fever with Renal Syndrome (HFRS), or a Hantavirus-related outbreak as a "pandemic" in an official public communication between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An explicit characterization includes official WHO statements, reports, press briefings, or publications that clearly describe the outbreak as a "pandemic." A Public Health Emergency of International Concern (PHEIC) alone will not qualify unless it is also described as a pandemic.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official WHO communications. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
交易量
$18,361,304结束日期
2027-01-01市场开放时间
May 4, 2026, 10:26 AM ETTrader consensus heavily favors no hantavirus pandemic in 2026 at 97.4% implied probability, driven by the containment of the May 2026 Andes virus outbreak aboard the MV Hondius cruise ship. Official CDC and WHO monitoring through 42-day quarantines confirmed 13 total cases and three deaths, with no sustained person-to-person transmission or community spread after contacts cleared observation by late June. Andes virus, the sole hantavirus with documented limited human-to-human spread via close prolonged contact, showed no efficient airborne or casual transmission, unlike respiratory viruses. Sporadic rodent-borne cases, such as Sin Nombre in Colorado, remain isolated without epidemic growth. Historical patterns of localized outbreaks and current surveillance data reinforce low pandemic risk, though new rodent exposures in endemic regions could generate isolated clusters before year-end.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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