Trader consensus heavily favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 67% implied probability for 2026's highest worldwide gross, propelled by its record-breaking trailer surpassing 1 billion views in four days and strong CinemaCon first-look footage from April, signaling massive opening weekend potential in the prime July 31 summer slot. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie leads YTD at $941 million but sits at 5.1% amid fading legs post-April release, while Avengers: Doomsday trails at 14.5% on explosive long-lead tracking despite its December 18 debut facing holiday competition. Toy Story 5's June 19 bow and early presales for Spider-Man could shift dynamics, with historical MCU solo films like No Way Home ($1.9B) informing projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于2026年票房最高的电影?
2026年票房最高的电影?
蜘蛛侠:全新一天 67%
复仇者联盟:末日审判 15%
超级马里奥银河电影 5.1%
玩具总动员5 3.5%
$6,717,459 交易量
$6,717,459 交易量
蜘蛛侠:全新一天
67%
复仇者联盟:末日审判
15%
超级马里奥银河电影
5%
玩具总动员5
4%
奥德赛
3%
迈克尔
1%
星球大战:曼达洛人和格罗古
1%
沙丘:弥赛亚
1%
魔法坏女巫:为善
1%
呼啸山庄
1%
勇敢者游戏3
1%
饥饿游戏:收获的黎明
<1%
海尔·玛丽计划
<1%
惊声尖叫7
<1%
蜘蛛侠:全新一天 67%
复仇者联盟:末日审判 15%
超级马里奥银河电影 5.1%
玩具总动员5 3.5%
$6,717,459 交易量
$6,717,459 交易量
蜘蛛侠:全新一天
67%
复仇者联盟:末日审判
15%
超级马里奥银河电影
5%
玩具总动员5
4%
奥德赛
3%
迈克尔
1%
星球大战:曼达洛人和格罗古
1%
沙丘:弥赛亚
1%
魔法坏女巫:为善
1%
呼啸山庄
1%
勇敢者游戏3
1%
饥饿游戏:收获的黎明
<1%
海尔·玛丽计划
<1%
惊声尖叫7
<1%
Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
市场开放时间: Nov 12, 2025, 11:53 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Note: This market is about the movie's domestic calendar gross in 2026 - dates outside of 2026 will not count toward this movie's gross.
In the event of an exact tie the film that comes first alphabetically will be considered the winner.
If there is no final data available by January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors Spider-Man: Brand New Day at 67% implied probability for 2026's highest worldwide gross, propelled by its record-breaking trailer surpassing 1 billion views in four days and strong CinemaCon first-look footage from April, signaling massive opening weekend potential in the prime July 31 summer slot. The Super Mario Galaxy Movie leads YTD at $941 million but sits at 5.1% amid fading legs post-April release, while Avengers: Doomsday trails at 14.5% on explosive long-lead tracking despite its December 18 debut facing holiday competition. Toy Story 5's June 19 bow and early presales for Spider-Man could shift dynamics, with historical MCU solo films like No Way Home ($1.9B) informing projections.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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