Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including the National Blend of Models, points to Austin highs of 96–98°F on June 26 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and strong daytime insolation. Southerly flow maintains dew points in the low 70s, limiting extreme surface heating while steering patterns keep any Gulf moisture offshore. This consensus supports the market’s leading 96–97°F bin, with differentiation among adjacent ranges hinging on small variations in boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon cloud development, and exact wind speeds that could shave or add a degree or two. Historical June averages near 93°F underscore the current anomaly, though ensemble spread leaves room for 94–95°F or 98–99°F outcomes if model runs shift overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月26日奥斯汀的最高温度?
94-95°F 100.0%
89华氏度或更低 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$34,787 交易量
$34,787 交易量
89华氏度或更低
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
94-95°F 100.0%
89华氏度或更低 <1%
90-91°F <1%
92-93°F <1%
$34,787 交易量
$34,787 交易量
89华氏度或更低
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
100%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106-107°F
<1%
108°F或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 24, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent National Weather Service and model guidance, including the National Blend of Models, points to Austin highs of 96–98°F on June 26 under a strengthening subtropical ridge that promotes subsidence warming, clear skies, and strong daytime insolation. Southerly flow maintains dew points in the low 70s, limiting extreme surface heating while steering patterns keep any Gulf moisture offshore. This consensus supports the market’s leading 96–97°F bin, with differentiation among adjacent ranges hinging on small variations in boundary-layer mixing depth, afternoon cloud development, and exact wind speeds that could shave or add a degree or two. Historical June averages near 93°F underscore the current anomaly, though ensemble spread leaves room for 94–95°F or 98–99°F outcomes if model runs shift overnight.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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