Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate sunny skies and light winds over Beijing through September 11, supporting a daytime high near 30–31 °C—well above the early-September climatological average of roughly 27 °C. Dry air masses and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, with official guidance centering on 29 °C and ensemble runs showing limited spread toward 28–32 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this guidance, assigning the highest probability to 31 °C while assigning lower weight to cooler or hotter outliers pending any late-model shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月11日北京气温最高？
9月11日北京气温最高？
31°C 52%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
5%
30°C
17%
31°C
52%
32°C
29%
33°C
4%
34°C
3%
35°C或更高
<1%
31°C 52%
32°C 29%
30°C 17%
29°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-11
25°C或以下
$141 交易量
<1%
26°C
$44 交易量
<1%
27°C
$190 交易量
2%
28°C
$5 交易量
5%
29°C
$42 交易量
5%
30°C
$5 交易量
17%
31°C
$367 交易量
52%
32°C
$18 交易量
29%
33°C
$0 交易量
4%
34°C
$0 交易量
3%
35°C或更高
$12 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate sunny skies and light winds over Beijing through September 11, supporting a daytime high near 30–31 °C—well above the early-September climatological average of roughly 27 °C. Dry air masses and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, with official guidance centering on 29 °C and ensemble runs showing limited spread toward 28–32 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this guidance, assigning the highest probability to 31 °C while assigning lower weight to cooler or hotter outliers pending any late-model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$824结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate sunny skies and light winds over Beijing through September 11, supporting a daytime high near 30–31 °C—well above the early-September climatological average of roughly 27 °C. Dry air masses and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, with official guidance centering on 29 °C and ensemble runs showing limited spread toward 28–32 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this guidance, assigning the highest probability to 31 °C while assigning lower weight to cooler or hotter outliers pending any late-model shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$824结束日期
2026-09-11市场开放时间
Sep 9, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from multiple meteorological sources, including the China Meteorological Administration and international models, indicate sunny skies and light winds over Beijing through September 11, supporting a daytime high near 30–31 °C—well above the early-September climatological average of roughly 27 °C. Dry air masses and minimal cloud cover are expected to allow strong solar heating during peak afternoon hours, with official guidance centering on 29 °C and ensemble runs showing limited spread toward 28–32 °C. Trader consensus reflected in the market-implied odds aligns closely with this guidance, assigning the highest probability to 31 °C while assigning lower weight to cooler or hotter outliers pending any late-model shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题