**Latest model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Beijing on September 9 around 14–16 °C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, with dry air (dew points near 10–13 °C) promoting efficient radiative cooling after sunset.** Recent rain on September 8 has left lower soil moisture and clearer conditions that favor stronger nocturnal temperature drops than the seasonal average low of ~17.5 °C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and wind speeds, which explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 12–14 °C rather than a single value. Official station readings (typically at the airport or central observatory) will resolve the market; any unexpected increase in low-level moisture or cloud cover could push the low several degrees higher, while calm, clear conditions support the cooler tail of the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日北京最低气温？
9月9日北京最低气温？
14°C 31%
12°C 27%
13°C 26%
11°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
9℃或以下
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
5%
12°C
27%
13°C
26%
14°C
31%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C或更高
<1%
14°C 31%
12°C 27%
13°C 26%
11°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
9℃或以下
$81 交易量
<1%
10°C
$55 交易量
<1%
11°C
$24 交易量
5%
12°C
$0 交易量
27%
13°C
$0 交易量
26%
14°C
$0 交易量
31%
15°C
$192 交易量
<1%
16°C
$208 交易量
<1%
17°C
$259 交易量
<1%
18°C
$229 交易量
<1%
19°C或更高
$260 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Beijing on September 9 around 14–16 °C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, with dry air (dew points near 10–13 °C) promoting efficient radiative cooling after sunset.**
Recent rain on September 8 has left lower soil moisture and clearer conditions that favor stronger nocturnal temperature drops than the seasonal average low of ~17.5 °C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and wind speeds, which explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 12–14 °C rather than a single value. Official station readings (typically at the airport or central observatory) will resolve the market; any unexpected increase in low-level moisture or cloud cover could push the low several degrees higher, while calm, clear conditions support the cooler tail of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$1,308结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Latest model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Beijing on September 9 around 14–16 °C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, with dry air (dew points near 10–13 °C) promoting efficient radiative cooling after sunset.**
Recent rain on September 8 has left lower soil moisture and clearer conditions that favor stronger nocturnal temperature drops than the seasonal average low of ~17.5 °C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and wind speeds, which explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 12–14 °C rather than a single value. Official station readings (typically at the airport or central observatory) will resolve the market; any unexpected increase in low-level moisture or cloud cover could push the low several degrees higher, while calm, clear conditions support the cooler tail of the distribution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,308结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:30 AM ET**Latest model consensus points to a minimum temperature in Beijing on September 9 around 14–16 °C under mostly clear skies and light northerly flow, with dry air (dew points near 10–13 °C) promoting efficient radiative cooling after sunset.** Recent rain on September 8 has left lower soil moisture and clearer conditions that favor stronger nocturnal temperature drops than the seasonal average low of ~17.5 °C. Ensemble forecasts show modest spread in boundary-layer cooling rates and wind speeds, which explains why market-implied probabilities cluster tightly on 12–14 °C rather than a single value. Official station readings (typically at the airport or central observatory) will resolve the market; any unexpected increase in low-level moisture or cloud cover could push the low several degrees higher, while calm, clear conditions support the cooler tail of the distribution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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