Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Chengdu on September 9, driven by a cold front and persistent rain that has suppressed daytime heating. Northerly winds of 4–6 levels (with gusts higher in eastern areas) and widespread cloud cover have limited solar radiation, producing a sharp drop from prior highs near 34°C. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show the peak occurring before heavier precipitation intensifies, aligning with observed afternoon readings in the low-to-mid 20s°C. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement and the advanced stage of the day, though minor upward revisions could occur if localized clearing allows brief additional warming before full cloud cover sets in.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日成都气温最高？
9月9日成都气温最高？
27°C 99.9%
21°C及以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$118,948 交易量
$118,948 交易量
2026-09-09
21°C及以下
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
100%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C或以上
<1%
27°C 99.9%
21°C及以下 <1%
22°C <1%
23°C <1%
$118,948 交易量
$118,948 交易量
2026-09-09
21°C及以下
$9,889 交易量
<1%
22°C
$8,488 交易量
<1%
23°C
$5,209 交易量
<1%
24°C
$8,888 交易量
<1%
25°C
$18,207 交易量
<1%
26°C
$27,586 交易量
<1%
27°C
$22,552 交易量
100%
28°C
$8,995 交易量
<1%
29°C
$5,990 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,112 交易量
<1%
31°C或以上
$1,032 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Chengdu on September 9, driven by a cold front and persistent rain that has suppressed daytime heating. Northerly winds of 4–6 levels (with gusts higher in eastern areas) and widespread cloud cover have limited solar radiation, producing a sharp drop from prior highs near 34°C. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show the peak occurring before heavier precipitation intensifies, aligning with observed afternoon readings in the low-to-mid 20s°C. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement and the advanced stage of the day, though minor upward revisions could occur if localized clearing allows brief additional warming before full cloud cover sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$118,948结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Chengdu on September 9, driven by a cold front and persistent rain that has suppressed daytime heating. Northerly winds of 4–6 levels (with gusts higher in eastern areas) and widespread cloud cover have limited solar radiation, producing a sharp drop from prior highs near 34°C. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show the peak occurring before heavier precipitation intensifies, aligning with observed afternoon readings in the low-to-mid 20s°C. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement and the advanced stage of the day, though minor upward revisions could occur if localized clearing allows brief additional warming before full cloud cover sets in.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$118,948结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from Chinese meteorological sources and international models converge on a daily maximum of 27°C for Chengdu on September 9, driven by a cold front and persistent rain that has suppressed daytime heating. Northerly winds of 4–6 levels (with gusts higher in eastern areas) and widespread cloud cover have limited solar radiation, producing a sharp drop from prior highs near 34°C. Official guidance and ensemble outputs show the peak occurring before heavier precipitation intensifies, aligning with observed afternoon readings in the low-to-mid 20s°C. Trader consensus at 99.9% implied probability reflects this strong model agreement and the advanced stage of the day, though minor upward revisions could occur if localized clearing allows brief additional warming before full cloud cover sets in.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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