Recent forecast models from multiple sources converge on a cool, unsettled day for Munich on September 9, with widespread rain and thunderstorms suppressing daytime highs into the 20–22°C range amid westerly flow and high cloud cover. This aligns closely with the long-term September 9 average high of 20.7°C and explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20–22°C. Persistent precipitation and limited solar heating reduce the likelihood of warmer outcomes, though minor variations in rain timing or intensity could nudge the official maximum recorded by DWD stations. Traders monitor the next model runs and local observations for any last-minute shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月9日慕尼黑最高温度？
9月9日慕尼黑最高温度？
21°C 25%
22°C 25%
20°C 22%
19°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
17°C或以下
2%
18°C
3%
19°C
13%
20°C
22%
21°C
25%
22°C
25%
23°C
13%
24°C
2%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C或更高
<1%
21°C 25%
22°C 25%
20°C 22%
19°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-09
17°C或以下
$18 交易量
2%
18°C
$223 交易量
3%
19°C
$753 交易量
13%
20°C
$1,694 交易量
22%
21°C
$1,396 交易量
25%
22°C
$1,224 交易量
25%
23°C
$662 交易量
13%
24°C
$40 交易量
2%
25°C
$10 交易量
1%
26°C
$40 交易量
1%
27°C或更高
$45 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple sources converge on a cool, unsettled day for Munich on September 9, with widespread rain and thunderstorms suppressing daytime highs into the 20–22°C range amid westerly flow and high cloud cover. This aligns closely with the long-term September 9 average high of 20.7°C and explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20–22°C. Persistent precipitation and limited solar heating reduce the likelihood of warmer outcomes, though minor variations in rain timing or intensity could nudge the official maximum recorded by DWD stations. Traders monitor the next model runs and local observations for any last-minute shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$5,804结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models from multiple sources converge on a cool, unsettled day for Munich on September 9, with widespread rain and thunderstorms suppressing daytime highs into the 20–22°C range amid westerly flow and high cloud cover. This aligns closely with the long-term September 9 average high of 20.7°C and explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20–22°C. Persistent precipitation and limited solar heating reduce the likelihood of warmer outcomes, though minor variations in rain timing or intensity could nudge the official maximum recorded by DWD stations. Traders monitor the next model runs and local observations for any last-minute shifts before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,804结束日期
2026-09-09市场开放时间
Sep 7, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast models from multiple sources converge on a cool, unsettled day for Munich on September 9, with widespread rain and thunderstorms suppressing daytime highs into the 20–22°C range amid westerly flow and high cloud cover. This aligns closely with the long-term September 9 average high of 20.7°C and explains the tight clustering of market-implied probabilities around 20–22°C. Persistent precipitation and limited solar heating reduce the likelihood of warmer outcomes, though minor variations in rain timing or intensity could nudge the official maximum recorded by DWD stations. Traders monitor the next model runs and local observations for any last-minute shifts before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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