Current forecasts from official monitoring sources point to a high near 28–29°C in the Incheon area on September 8 under sunny conditions with light northwest winds and low humidity. This aligns with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, as models show stable high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting afternoon mixing. Seasonal norms for early September in the region average highs around 26–28°C, and recent days have featured similar clear, dry patterns without significant frontal activity or moisture advection. Minor model spread on peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing keeps 27°C and 29°C viable at 22% and 25% respectively, while probabilities above 30°C remain low absent unexpected warming. Updated runs from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月8日首尔(仁川)气温最高?
28°C 45%
29°C 26%
27°C 18%
31°C 17%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
10%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
45%
29°C
26%
30°C
10%
31°C
17%
32°C或以上
3%
28°C 45%
29°C 26%
27°C 18%
31°C 17%
22°C或以下
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
10%
26°C
4%
27°C
18%
28°C
45%
29°C
26%
30°C
10%
31°C
17%
32°C或以上
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Sep 6, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecasts from official monitoring sources point to a high near 28–29°C in the Incheon area on September 8 under sunny conditions with light northwest winds and low humidity. This aligns with the market's leading 28°C outcome at 40.5% implied probability, as models show stable high pressure suppressing cloud cover and limiting afternoon mixing. Seasonal norms for early September in the region average highs around 26–28°C, and recent days have featured similar clear, dry patterns without significant frontal activity or moisture advection. Minor model spread on peak insolation and boundary-layer mixing keeps 27°C and 29°C viable at 22% and 25% respectively, while probabilities above 30°C remain low absent unexpected warming. Updated runs from agencies like the Korea Meteorological Administration will refine these thresholds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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