**Recent forecasts position 28–29°C as the most probable range for the daily maximum temperature at Incheon International Airport (the official observation site for this market) on September 7.** Persistent northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating despite clear early-autumn conditions, keeping highs close to recent observed values of 28–29°C on September 5–6. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble outputs show a daytime peak near 27–29°C under light-to-moderate northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius supporting efficient radiational cooling overnight but modest solar warming by afternoon. Model consensus indicates low precipitation risk and no strong warm advection, which explains why traders have concentrated implied probability on 28°C (33%) and 29°C (48.5%), while assigning only modest weight to 30°C or higher. Any last-minute increase in cloud cover or slight wind shift could cap the high at 28°C or push it to 30°C, but current guidance favors the narrow 28–29°C window two days ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月7日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
9月7日首尔（仁川）气温最高？
29°C 50%
28°C 33%
30°C 11%
27°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
22°C或以下
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
33%
29°C
50%
30°C
11%
31°C
4%
32°C或更高
1%
29°C 50%
28°C 33%
30°C 11%
27°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-09-07
22°C或以下
$230 交易量
<1%
23°C
$197 交易量
<1%
24°C
$63 交易量
1%
25°C
$0 交易量
3%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$50 交易量
7%
28°C
$153 交易量
33%
29°C
$876 交易量
50%
30°C
$17 交易量
11%
31°C
$101 交易量
4%
32°C或更高
$62 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts position 28–29°C as the most probable range for the daily maximum temperature at Incheon International Airport (the official observation site for this market) on September 7.** Persistent northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating despite clear early-autumn conditions, keeping highs close to recent observed values of 28–29°C on September 5–6.
Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble outputs show a daytime peak near 27–29°C under light-to-moderate northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius supporting efficient radiational cooling overnight but modest solar warming by afternoon. Model consensus indicates low precipitation risk and no strong warm advection, which explains why traders have concentrated implied probability on 28°C (33%) and 29°C (48.5%), while assigning only modest weight to 30°C or higher.
Any last-minute increase in cloud cover or slight wind shift could cap the high at 28°C or push it to 30°C, but current guidance favors the narrow 28–29°C window two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,749结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts position 28–29°C as the most probable range for the daily maximum temperature at Incheon International Airport (the official observation site for this market) on September 7.** Persistent northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating despite clear early-autumn conditions, keeping highs close to recent observed values of 28–29°C on September 5–6.
Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble outputs show a daytime peak near 27–29°C under light-to-moderate northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius supporting efficient radiational cooling overnight but modest solar warming by afternoon. Model consensus indicates low precipitation risk and no strong warm advection, which explains why traders have concentrated implied probability on 28°C (33%) and 29°C (48.5%), while assigning only modest weight to 30°C or higher.
Any last-minute increase in cloud cover or slight wind shift could cap the high at 28°C or push it to 30°C, but current guidance favors the narrow 28–29°C window two days ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rksi
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,749结束日期
2026-09-07市场开放时间
Sep 5, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Recent forecasts position 28–29°C as the most probable range for the daily maximum temperature at Incheon International Airport (the official observation site for this market) on September 7.** Persistent northeasterly flow, partly cloudy skies, and moderate humidity are limiting daytime heating despite clear early-autumn conditions, keeping highs close to recent observed values of 28–29°C on September 5–6. Official guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble outputs show a daytime peak near 27–29°C under light-to-moderate northeast winds of 5–8 m/s, with dew points in the mid-teens Celsius supporting efficient radiational cooling overnight but modest solar warming by afternoon. Model consensus indicates low precipitation risk and no strong warm advection, which explains why traders have concentrated implied probability on 28°C (33%) and 29°C (48.5%), while assigning only modest weight to 30°C or higher. Any last-minute increase in cloud cover or slight wind shift could cap the high at 28°C or push it to 30°C, but current guidance favors the narrow 28–29°C window two days ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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警惕外部链接哦。
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