**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C for Taipei’s September 5 high because official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models show a narrow range of possible maxima under persistent moisture and convective instability.** Northwest winds and high humidity favor scattered showers and thunderstorms that can limit afternoon solar heating, while brief breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming to the upper 20s or low 30s Celsius. Recent heavy-rain advisories and the influence of distant tropical moisture underscore forecast spread, with numerical guidance diverging on exact timing and intensity of convection. Traders therefore assign comparable probabilities across the 31–33°C band, reflecting both the typical early-September baseline near 30°C and the realistic potential for modest upward or downward revisions as new model runs and CWA updates arrive before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日台北气温最高？
9月5日台北气温最高？
31°C 35%
32°C 35%
33°C 31%
30°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
25°C或以下
3%
26°C
2%
27°C
4%
28°C
7%
29°C
10%
30°C
14%
31°C
35%
32°C
35%
33°C
31%
34°C
5%
35°C或以上
3%
31°C 35%
32°C 35%
33°C 31%
30°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
25°C或以下
$0 交易量
3%
26°C
$0 交易量
2%
27°C
$0 交易量
4%
28°C
$12 交易量
7%
29°C
$0 交易量
10%
30°C
$0 交易量
14%
31°C
$0 交易量
35%
32°C
$7 交易量
35%
33°C
$13 交易量
31%
34°C
$69 交易量
5%
35°C或以上
$20 交易量
3%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C for Taipei’s September 5 high because official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models show a narrow range of possible maxima under persistent moisture and convective instability.** Northwest winds and high humidity favor scattered showers and thunderstorms that can limit afternoon solar heating, while brief breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming to the upper 20s or low 30s Celsius. Recent heavy-rain advisories and the influence of distant tropical moisture underscore forecast spread, with numerical guidance diverging on exact timing and intensity of convection. Traders therefore assign comparable probabilities across the 31–33°C band, reflecting both the typical early-September baseline near 30°C and the realistic potential for modest upward or downward revisions as new model runs and CWA updates arrive before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$121结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C for Taipei’s September 5 high because official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models show a narrow range of possible maxima under persistent moisture and convective instability.** Northwest winds and high humidity favor scattered showers and thunderstorms that can limit afternoon solar heating, while brief breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming to the upper 20s or low 30s Celsius. Recent heavy-rain advisories and the influence of distant tropical moisture underscore forecast spread, with numerical guidance diverging on exact timing and intensity of convection. Traders therefore assign comparable probabilities across the 31–33°C band, reflecting both the typical early-September baseline near 30°C and the realistic potential for modest upward or downward revisions as new model runs and CWA updates arrive before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$121结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Market-implied odds cluster tightly around 31–33°C for Taipei’s September 5 high because official Central Weather Administration guidance and ensemble models show a narrow range of possible maxima under persistent moisture and convective instability.** Northwest winds and high humidity favor scattered showers and thunderstorms that can limit afternoon solar heating, while brief breaks in cloud cover allow brief warming to the upper 20s or low 30s Celsius. Recent heavy-rain advisories and the influence of distant tropical moisture underscore forecast spread, with numerical guidance diverging on exact timing and intensity of convection. Traders therefore assign comparable probabilities across the 31–33°C band, reflecting both the typical early-September baseline near 30°C and the realistic potential for modest upward or downward revisions as new model runs and CWA updates arrive before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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