Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a lowest temperature near 75°F for Austin on September 5, driven by persistent southerly flow, warm advection, and high dew points that limit nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. This places the implied probability heavily on the 74-75°F and adjacent 72-77°F bins, with the 30% chance assigned to 67°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized radiational cooling. Historical September 5 lows average around 71°F, so current conditions remain slightly above normal amid stable late-summer patterns without strong frontal passages. Traders monitor evening forecast updates for any adjustments in wind or cloud cover that could refine the overnight minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月5日奥斯汀最低气温？
9月5日奥斯汀最低气温？
86°F或更高 55%
67°F或以下 54%
68-69°F 48%
70-71°F 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
67°F或以下
54%
68-69°F
48%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
31%
74-75°F
40%
76-77°F
27%
78-79°F
48%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
17%
84-85°F
16%
86°F或更高
55%
86°F或更高 55%
67°F或以下 54%
68-69°F 48%
70-71°F 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-05
67°F或以下
$0 交易量
54%
68-69°F
$0 交易量
48%
70-71°F
$0 交易量
48%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
31%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
40%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
27%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
48%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
48%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
17%
84-85°F
$0 交易量
16%
86°F或更高
$0 交易量
55%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a lowest temperature near 75°F for Austin on September 5, driven by persistent southerly flow, warm advection, and high dew points that limit nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. This places the implied probability heavily on the 74-75°F and adjacent 72-77°F bins, with the 30% chance assigned to 67°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized radiational cooling. Historical September 5 lows average around 71°F, so current conditions remain slightly above normal amid stable late-summer patterns without strong frontal passages. Traders monitor evening forecast updates for any adjustments in wind or cloud cover that could refine the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a lowest temperature near 75°F for Austin on September 5, driven by persistent southerly flow, warm advection, and high dew points that limit nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. This places the implied probability heavily on the 74-75°F and adjacent 72-77°F bins, with the 30% chance assigned to 67°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized radiational cooling. Historical September 5 lows average around 71°F, so current conditions remain slightly above normal amid stable late-summer patterns without strong frontal passages. Traders monitor evening forecast updates for any adjustments in wind or cloud cover that could refine the overnight minimum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-09-05市场开放时间
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETRecent National Weather Service and model guidance indicate a lowest temperature near 75°F for Austin on September 5, driven by persistent southerly flow, warm advection, and high dew points that limit nocturnal cooling under partly cloudy skies. This places the implied probability heavily on the 74-75°F and adjacent 72-77°F bins, with the 30% chance assigned to 67°F or below reflecting residual uncertainty from potential model shifts or localized radiational cooling. Historical September 5 lows average around 71°F, so current conditions remain slightly above normal amid stable late-summer patterns without strong frontal passages. Traders monitor evening forecast updates for any adjustments in wind or cloud cover that could refine the overnight minimum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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