**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a low around 76–77°F for Austin on September 3, 2026, amid persistently hot, humid conditions with daytime highs near 96–100°F.** South to southeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and elevated moisture from regional tropical moisture limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight minima well above the long-term average of ~71°F. The closely matched market probabilities across bins from the mid-70s through the low 80s reflect model spread in exact minimum timing, local urban heat island effects, and any scattered showers that could alter boundary-layer temperatures by a few degrees. Higher-probability outcomes near 88°F+ or sub-70°F appear driven by tail-risk scenarios involving stalled fronts or stronger advection, though official guidance shows limited support for extremes this close to the date. Updated NWS and model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月3日奥斯汀最低气温？
9月3日奥斯汀最低气温？
88°F或更高 81%
69°F或以下 65%
84-85°F 49%
70-71°F 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
69°F或以下
65%
70-71°F
48%
72-73°F
26%
74-75°F
26%
76-77°F
35%
78-79°F
30%
80-81°F
26%
82-83°F
25%
84-85°F
49%
86-87°F
41%
88°F或更高
81%
88°F或更高 81%
69°F或以下 65%
84-85°F 49%
70-71°F 48%
最新
最新
2026-09-03
69°F或以下
$10 交易量
65%
70-71°F
$10 交易量
48%
72-73°F
$0 交易量
26%
74-75°F
$0 交易量
26%
76-77°F
$0 交易量
35%
78-79°F
$0 交易量
30%
80-81°F
$0 交易量
26%
82-83°F
$0 交易量
25%
84-85°F
$10 交易量
49%
86-87°F
$10 交易量
41%
88°F或更高
$10 交易量
81%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a low around 76–77°F for Austin on September 3, 2026, amid persistently hot, humid conditions with daytime highs near 96–100°F.** South to southeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and elevated moisture from regional tropical moisture limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight minima well above the long-term average of ~71°F. The closely matched market probabilities across bins from the mid-70s through the low 80s reflect model spread in exact minimum timing, local urban heat island effects, and any scattered showers that could alter boundary-layer temperatures by a few degrees. Higher-probability outcomes near 88°F+ or sub-70°F appear driven by tail-risk scenarios involving stalled fronts or stronger advection, though official guidance shows limited support for extremes this close to the date. Updated NWS and model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
交易量
$50结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a low around 76–77°F for Austin on September 3, 2026, amid persistently hot, humid conditions with daytime highs near 96–100°F.** South to southeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and elevated moisture from regional tropical moisture limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight minima well above the long-term average of ~71°F. The closely matched market probabilities across bins from the mid-70s through the low 80s reflect model spread in exact minimum timing, local urban heat island effects, and any scattered showers that could alter boundary-layer temperatures by a few degrees. Higher-probability outcomes near 88°F+ or sub-70°F appear driven by tail-risk scenarios involving stalled fronts or stronger advection, though official guidance shows limited support for extremes this close to the date. Updated NWS and model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kaus
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50结束日期
2026-09-03市场开放时间
Sep 1, 2026, 3:29 AM ET**Current forecasts from the National Weather Service and multiple models indicate a low around 76–77°F for Austin on September 3, 2026, amid persistently hot, humid conditions with daytime highs near 96–100°F.** South to southeast winds, partly cloudy skies, and elevated moisture from regional tropical moisture limit nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping overnight minima well above the long-term average of ~71°F. The closely matched market probabilities across bins from the mid-70s through the low 80s reflect model spread in exact minimum timing, local urban heat island effects, and any scattered showers that could alter boundary-layer temperatures by a few degrees. Higher-probability outcomes near 88°F+ or sub-70°F appear driven by tail-risk scenarios involving stalled fronts or stronger advection, though official guidance shows limited support for extremes this close to the date. Updated NWS and model runs over the next 48 hours will be the key data points for traders.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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