**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models show unsettled conditions on September 1 driven by a broad low-pressure trough and possible weak low-pressure development near Hainan, producing northerly winds of force 4–5 (gusts to 6 on high ground) alongside scattered showers and thunderstorms.** These factors limit daytime heating through persistent cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rain, and reduced solar insolation, keeping the maximum temperature near the historical early-September average of ~30–31 °C at the Observatory. Model consensus clusters the high around 30–31 °C, with slight upward bias possible only if afternoon clearing occurs; stronger northerlies or heavier convection would cap it closer to 29 °C. Traders price the tight 30–31 °C spread (combined >60 % implied probability) because resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of rainfall and wind shifts, variables that remain sensitive to the latest model runs and any intensification of the low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于9月1日香港气温最高？
9月1日香港气温最高？
31°C 31%
30°C 27%
29°C 16%
32°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
27%
31°C
31%
32°C
13%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
1%
31°C 31%
30°C 27%
29°C 16%
32°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-09-01
25°C or below
$110 交易量
<1%
26°C
$120 交易量
<1%
27°C
$10 交易量
2%
28°C
$0 交易量
5%
29°C
$68 交易量
16%
30°C
$76 交易量
27%
31°C
$109 交易量
31%
32°C
$158 交易量
13%
33°C
$144 交易量
5%
34°C
$60 交易量
4%
35°C or higher
$36 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models show unsettled conditions on September 1 driven by a broad low-pressure trough and possible weak low-pressure development near Hainan, producing northerly winds of force 4–5 (gusts to 6 on high ground) alongside scattered showers and thunderstorms.** These factors limit daytime heating through persistent cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rain, and reduced solar insolation, keeping the maximum temperature near the historical early-September average of ~30–31 °C at the Observatory. Model consensus clusters the high around 30–31 °C, with slight upward bias possible only if afternoon clearing occurs; stronger northerlies or heavier convection would cap it closer to 29 °C. Traders price the tight 30–31 °C spread (combined >60 % implied probability) because resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of rainfall and wind shifts, variables that remain sensitive to the latest model runs and any intensification of the low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$891结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models show unsettled conditions on September 1 driven by a broad low-pressure trough and possible weak low-pressure development near Hainan, producing northerly winds of force 4–5 (gusts to 6 on high ground) alongside scattered showers and thunderstorms.** These factors limit daytime heating through persistent cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rain, and reduced solar insolation, keeping the maximum temperature near the historical early-September average of ~30–31 °C at the Observatory. Model consensus clusters the high around 30–31 °C, with slight upward bias possible only if afternoon clearing occurs; stronger northerlies or heavier convection would cap it closer to 29 °C. Traders price the tight 30–31 °C spread (combined >60 % implied probability) because resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of rainfall and wind shifts, variables that remain sensitive to the latest model runs and any intensification of the low.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 1 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$891结束日期
2026-09-01市场开放时间
Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET**Current forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory and global models show unsettled conditions on September 1 driven by a broad low-pressure trough and possible weak low-pressure development near Hainan, producing northerly winds of force 4–5 (gusts to 6 on high ground) alongside scattered showers and thunderstorms.** These factors limit daytime heating through persistent cloud cover, evaporative cooling from rain, and reduced solar insolation, keeping the maximum temperature near the historical early-September average of ~30–31 °C at the Observatory. Model consensus clusters the high around 30–31 °C, with slight upward bias possible only if afternoon clearing occurs; stronger northerlies or heavier convection would cap it closer to 29 °C. Traders price the tight 30–31 °C spread (combined >60 % implied probability) because resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of rainfall and wind shifts, variables that remain sensitive to the latest model runs and any intensification of the low.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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