Recent MetService guidance points to a high of 16°C for Wellington on August 30 under mainly fine conditions and northwesterly winds, aligning with model consensus from multiple sources showing 15–16°C maxima. This follows a period of above-average late-August temperatures, including a 17.1°C peak on August 25, driven by persistent mild northerly flows. Trader positioning favoring 17°C (52% implied probability) and 18°C (26%) reflects expectations that daytime warming or slight forecast revisions could push readings higher, though cooler outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases or winds shift. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月30日惠灵顿的最高温度？
17°C 52%
18°C 26%
16°C 15%
19°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
11°C or below
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
1%
15°C
3%
16°C
15%
17°C
52%
18°C
26%
19°C
3%
20°C
<1%
21°C or higher
<1%
17°C 52%
18°C 26%
16°C 15%
19°C 3%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
11°C or below
$56 交易量
<1%
12°C
$56 交易量
<1%
13°C
$40 交易量
1%
14°C
$336 交易量
1%
15°C
$136 交易量
3%
16°C
$592 交易量
15%
17°C
$476 交易量
52%
18°C
$682 交易量
26%
19°C
$51 交易量
3%
20°C
$105 交易量
<1%
21°C or higher
$50 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService guidance points to a high of 16°C for Wellington on August 30 under mainly fine conditions and northwesterly winds, aligning with model consensus from multiple sources showing 15–16°C maxima. This follows a period of above-average late-August temperatures, including a 17.1°C peak on August 25, driven by persistent mild northerly flows. Trader positioning favoring 17°C (52% implied probability) and 18°C (26%) reflects expectations that daytime warming or slight forecast revisions could push readings higher, though cooler outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases or winds shift. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$2,580结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent MetService guidance points to a high of 16°C for Wellington on August 30 under mainly fine conditions and northwesterly winds, aligning with model consensus from multiple sources showing 15–16°C maxima. This follows a period of above-average late-August temperatures, including a 17.1°C peak on August 25, driven by persistent mild northerly flows. Trader positioning favoring 17°C (52% implied probability) and 18°C (26%) reflects expectations that daytime warming or slight forecast revisions could push readings higher, though cooler outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases or winds shift. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$2,580结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent MetService guidance points to a high of 16°C for Wellington on August 30 under mainly fine conditions and northwesterly winds, aligning with model consensus from multiple sources showing 15–16°C maxima. This follows a period of above-average late-August temperatures, including a 17.1°C peak on August 25, driven by persistent mild northerly flows. Trader positioning favoring 17°C (52% implied probability) and 18°C (26%) reflects expectations that daytime warming or slight forecast revisions could push readings higher, though cooler outcomes remain possible if cloud cover increases or winds shift. Updated model runs and official briefings in the next 48 hours will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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