**Trader sentiment for Wellington's August 30 daily minimum temperature clusters around 10–11°C because ensemble forecasts show a mild northwesterly airstream with mostly clear skies overnight, yielding expected lows near 9–11°C (roughly 48–52°F).** Strong winds (20–35 knots gusting higher) promote turbulent mixing that limits radiative cooling, while the air mass origin keeps temperatures above seasonal norms. Differentiation among the 7–12°C outcomes stems from model spread in exact wind timing, any brief cloud intrusions, and microscale effects around the Cook Strait—factors that can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical late-August minima average ~9–10°C with high day-to-day variability from passing fronts. Fresh model runs or official MetService briefings on the 30th remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月30日惠灵顿的最低温度？
8月30日惠灵顿的最低温度？
7°C 70%
8°C 70%
11°C 39%
10°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
6°C or below
2%
7°C
70%
8°C
70%
9°C
23%
10°C
36%
11°C
39%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
7°C 70%
8°C 70%
11°C 39%
10°C 36%
最新
最新
2026-08-30
6°C or below
$5 交易量
2%
7°C
$0 交易量
70%
8°C
$10 交易量
70%
9°C
$61 交易量
23%
10°C
$0 交易量
36%
11°C
$0 交易量
39%
12°C
$10 交易量
<1%
13°C
$30 交易量
<1%
14°C
$35 交易量
<1%
15°C
$145 交易量
<1%
16°C or higher
$351 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington's August 30 daily minimum temperature clusters around 10–11°C because ensemble forecasts show a mild northwesterly airstream with mostly clear skies overnight, yielding expected lows near 9–11°C (roughly 48–52°F).** Strong winds (20–35 knots gusting higher) promote turbulent mixing that limits radiative cooling, while the air mass origin keeps temperatures above seasonal norms. Differentiation among the 7–12°C outcomes stems from model spread in exact wind timing, any brief cloud intrusions, and microscale effects around the Cook Strait—factors that can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical late-August minima average ~9–10°C with high day-to-day variability from passing fronts. Fresh model runs or official MetService briefings on the 30th remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
交易量
$647结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Wellington's August 30 daily minimum temperature clusters around 10–11°C because ensemble forecasts show a mild northwesterly airstream with mostly clear skies overnight, yielding expected lows near 9–11°C (roughly 48–52°F).** Strong winds (20–35 knots gusting higher) promote turbulent mixing that limits radiative cooling, while the air mass origin keeps temperatures above seasonal norms. Differentiation among the 7–12°C outcomes stems from model spread in exact wind timing, any brief cloud intrusions, and microscale effects around the Cook Strait—factors that can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical late-August minima average ~9–10°C with high day-to-day variability from passing fronts. Fresh model runs or official MetService briefings on the 30th remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$647结束日期
2026-08-30市场开放时间
Aug 28, 2026, 12:29 AM ET**Trader sentiment for Wellington's August 30 daily minimum temperature clusters around 10–11°C because ensemble forecasts show a mild northwesterly airstream with mostly clear skies overnight, yielding expected lows near 9–11°C (roughly 48–52°F).** Strong winds (20–35 knots gusting higher) promote turbulent mixing that limits radiative cooling, while the air mass origin keeps temperatures above seasonal norms. Differentiation among the 7–12°C outcomes stems from model spread in exact wind timing, any brief cloud intrusions, and microscale effects around the Cook Strait—factors that can shift the minimum by 2–3°C. Historical late-August minima average ~9–10°C with high day-to-day variability from passing fronts. Fresh model runs or official MetService briefings on the 30th remain the key near-term catalysts.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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