**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on August 29, 2026 (99.7% implied probability), reflecting real-time observational data from local meteorological stations showing a daytime peak of 32°C amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain, high humidity (around 75–90%), and light southwesterly winds.** This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average daily maxima hover near 32°C, and current conditions—including overcast skies and precipitation—have suppressed further warming. Hourly records indicate temperatures climbed to but did not exceed 32°C during peak afternoon hours before declining. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but could include an official revision from a primary reporting station (e.g., via final quality-controlled data) or an isolated microclimate spike not captured in initial observations; however, the broad agreement across multiple forecast and monitoring sources makes significant deviation improbable. Market-implied odds treat the outcome as effectively settled given the day’s advanced stage and consistent measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月29日深圳气温最高？
8月29日深圳气温最高？
32°C 99.7%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$38,724 交易量
$38,724 交易量
2026-08-29
27°C or below
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
100%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C or higher
<1%
32°C 99.7%
34°C <1%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
$38,724 交易量
$38,724 交易量
2026-08-29
27°C or below
$722 交易量
<1%
28°C
$576 交易量
<1%
29°C
$1,014 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,205 交易量
<1%
31°C
$2,730 交易量
<1%
32°C
$7,661 交易量
100%
33°C
$4,623 交易量
<1%
34°C
$5,685 交易量
<1%
35°C
$4,980 交易量
<1%
36°C
$6,771 交易量
<1%
37°C or higher
$1,757 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on August 29, 2026 (99.7% implied probability), reflecting real-time observational data from local meteorological stations showing a daytime peak of 32°C amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain, high humidity (around 75–90%), and light southwesterly winds.**
This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average daily maxima hover near 32°C, and current conditions—including overcast skies and precipitation—have suppressed further warming. Hourly records indicate temperatures climbed to but did not exceed 32°C during peak afternoon hours before declining.
Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but could include an official revision from a primary reporting station (e.g., via final quality-controlled data) or an isolated microclimate spike not captured in initial observations; however, the broad agreement across multiple forecast and monitoring sources makes significant deviation improbable. Market-implied odds treat the outcome as effectively settled given the day’s advanced stage and consistent measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$38,724结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on August 29, 2026 (99.7% implied probability), reflecting real-time observational data from local meteorological stations showing a daytime peak of 32°C amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain, high humidity (around 75–90%), and light southwesterly winds.**
This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average daily maxima hover near 32°C, and current conditions—including overcast skies and precipitation—have suppressed further warming. Hourly records indicate temperatures climbed to but did not exceed 32°C during peak afternoon hours before declining.
Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but could include an official revision from a primary reporting station (e.g., via final quality-controlled data) or an isolated microclimate spike not captured in initial observations; however, the broad agreement across multiple forecast and monitoring sources makes significant deviation improbable. Market-implied odds treat the outcome as effectively settled given the day’s advanced stage and consistent measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 29 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgsz
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$38,724结束日期
2026-08-29市场开放时间
Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET**Trader consensus overwhelmingly favors 32°C as Shenzhen’s highest temperature on August 29, 2026 (99.7% implied probability), reflecting real-time observational data from local meteorological stations showing a daytime peak of 32°C amid cloudy skies, light-to-moderate rain, high humidity (around 75–90%), and light southwesterly winds.** This aligns with late-August climatology for the region, where average daily maxima hover near 32°C, and current conditions—including overcast skies and precipitation—have suppressed further warming. Hourly records indicate temperatures climbed to but did not exceed 32°C during peak afternoon hours before declining. Realistic challenges to this outcome remain limited but could include an official revision from a primary reporting station (e.g., via final quality-controlled data) or an isolated microclimate spike not captured in initial observations; however, the broad agreement across multiple forecast and monitoring sources makes significant deviation improbable. Market-implied odds treat the outcome as effectively settled given the day’s advanced stage and consistent measurements.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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