Recent numerical weather models from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions for Qingdao on August 31, with northeasterly winds of 5–7 m/s moderating coastal temperatures and limiting strong diurnal heating. Consensus daytime maxima cluster in the 27–30°C range amid typical late-summer humidity levels near 70–80%, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 29–31°C outcomes. Recent days have featured scattered showers and a slight cooling trend from earlier August peaks near 32–33°C, reinforcing trader expectations that no significant warm advection or clear-sky intensification will push the daily high substantially higher or lower. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow remain the key variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日青岛气温最高?
30°C 41%
29°C 27%
31°C 22%
28°C 8%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
27%
30°C
41%
31°C
22%
32°C
7%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
30°C 41%
29°C 27%
31°C 22%
28°C 8%
25°C或以下
1%
26°C
4%
27°C
4%
28°C
8%
29°C
27%
30°C
41%
31°C
22%
32°C
7%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 29, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent numerical weather models from sources including the Met Office and regional forecasts indicate partly cloudy to overcast conditions for Qingdao on August 31, with northeasterly winds of 5–7 m/s moderating coastal temperatures and limiting strong diurnal heating. Consensus daytime maxima cluster in the 27–30°C range amid typical late-summer humidity levels near 70–80%, consistent with the market’s heaviest weighting toward 29–31°C outcomes. Recent days have featured scattered showers and a slight cooling trend from earlier August peaks near 32–33°C, reinforcing trader expectations that no significant warm advection or clear-sky intensification will push the daily high substantially higher or lower. Updated model runs and any shifts in steering flow remain the key variables ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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