**Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate mild overnight conditions for Toronto on August 31, 2026, with projected lows near 19–20°C amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly flow.** This warm, humid pattern—unseasonably elevated relative to the 1991–2020 average low of 16.3°C—has driven trader sentiment toward higher minimum temperatures, as reflected in the leading 46% implied probability for a low of 23°C or above. Cloudiness and precipitation limit radiational cooling, while elevated dew points sustain warmth through the night. Historical records show August 31 lows can reach the mid-teens or lower under clear, drier regimes, but current model consensus and the lack of a strong cold front reduce those odds. Key upcoming factors include any revisions in the next 48-hour forecast updates from Environment Canada or NOAA, which could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture levels change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月31日多伦多最低气温？
8月31日多伦多最低气温？
23°C或以上 94%
13°C或以下 59%
16°C 49%
22°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
13°C或以下
59%
14°C
35%
15°C
43%
16°C
49%
17°C
36%
18°C
23%
19°C
27%
20°C
22%
21°C
37%
22°C
49%
23°C或以上
94%
23°C或以上 94%
13°C或以下 59%
16°C 49%
22°C 49%
最新
最新
2026-08-31
13°C或以下
$0 交易量
59%
14°C
$0 交易量
35%
15°C
$0 交易量
43%
16°C
$0 交易量
49%
17°C
$0 交易量
36%
18°C
$0 交易量
23%
19°C
$0 交易量
27%
20°C
$0 交易量
22%
21°C
$0 交易量
37%
22°C
$0 交易量
49%
23°C或以上
$0 交易量
94%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate mild overnight conditions for Toronto on August 31, 2026, with projected lows near 19–20°C amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly flow.** This warm, humid pattern—unseasonably elevated relative to the 1991–2020 average low of 16.3°C—has driven trader sentiment toward higher minimum temperatures, as reflected in the leading 46% implied probability for a low of 23°C or above.
Cloudiness and precipitation limit radiational cooling, while elevated dew points sustain warmth through the night. Historical records show August 31 lows can reach the mid-teens or lower under clear, drier regimes, but current model consensus and the lack of a strong cold front reduce those odds. Key upcoming factors include any revisions in the next 48-hour forecast updates from Environment Canada or NOAA, which could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture levels change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate mild overnight conditions for Toronto on August 31, 2026, with projected lows near 19–20°C amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly flow.** This warm, humid pattern—unseasonably elevated relative to the 1991–2020 average low of 16.3°C—has driven trader sentiment toward higher minimum temperatures, as reflected in the leading 46% implied probability for a low of 23°C or above.
Cloudiness and precipitation limit radiational cooling, while elevated dew points sustain warmth through the night. Historical records show August 31 lows can reach the mid-teens or lower under clear, drier regimes, but current model consensus and the lack of a strong cold front reduce those odds. Key upcoming factors include any revisions in the next 48-hour forecast updates from Environment Canada or NOAA, which could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture levels change.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=cyyz
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$0结束日期
2026-08-31市场开放时间
Aug 29, 2026, 8:29 AM ET**Recent forecasts from Environment Canada and other models indicate mild overnight conditions for Toronto on August 31, 2026, with projected lows near 19–20°C amid persistent cloud cover, showers, and southerly flow.** This warm, humid pattern—unseasonably elevated relative to the 1991–2020 average low of 16.3°C—has driven trader sentiment toward higher minimum temperatures, as reflected in the leading 46% implied probability for a low of 23°C or above. Cloudiness and precipitation limit radiational cooling, while elevated dew points sustain warmth through the night. Historical records show August 31 lows can reach the mid-teens or lower under clear, drier regimes, but current model consensus and the lack of a strong cold front reduce those odds. Key upcoming factors include any revisions in the next 48-hour forecast updates from Environment Canada or NOAA, which could shift probabilities if steering patterns or moisture levels change.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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