Recent forecast updates from multiple models show an incoming low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary bringing increased cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly flow to Warsaw by August 29, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures near 19–22 °C. This shift from the clearer, warmer conditions observed on August 27–28 has concentrated trader consensus on the 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes, as ensemble guidance indicates modest thermal energy and persistent moisture that caps peaks below seasonal averages. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of any afternoon clearing or convective activity, with fresh model runs expected to narrow uncertainty before the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于华沙8月29日的最高温度?
21°C 25%
20°C 23%
19°C 18%
22°C 13%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
18%
20°C
23%
21°C
25%
22°C
13%
23°C
9%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
21°C 25%
20°C 23%
19°C 18%
22°C 13%
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
18%
20°C
23%
21°C
25%
22°C
13%
23°C
9%
24°C
3%
25°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 27, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=epwa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast updates from multiple models show an incoming low-pressure system and associated frontal boundary bringing increased cloud cover, showers, and southwesterly flow to Warsaw by August 29, limiting daytime solar heating and keeping maximum temperatures near 19–22 °C. This shift from the clearer, warmer conditions observed on August 27–28 has concentrated trader consensus on the 20 °C and 21 °C outcomes, as ensemble guidance indicates modest thermal energy and persistent moisture that caps peaks below seasonal averages. Resolution hinges on the precise timing and intensity of any afternoon clearing or convective activity, with fresh model runs expected to narrow uncertainty before the date.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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