Recent forecast updates from agencies like MetService and model consensus place Wellington’s August 27 maximum near 13–14 °C under increasing cloud, a 50 % rain chance, and shifting winds from northwesterlies to southerlies. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with the warmer northerly flow that produced 17 °C on August 23. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in frontal passage create genuine uncertainty between the two leading bins, keeping their implied probabilities nearly equal while higher or lower outcomes remain low-probability outliers. New model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the peak value before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月27日惠灵顿的最高温度？
14°C 45%
13°C 42%
15°C 8%
12°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
2%
12°C
7%
13°C
42%
14°C
45%
15°C
8%
16°C
3%
17°C
3%
18°C or higher
<1%
14°C 45%
13°C 42%
15°C 8%
12°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-27
8°C or below
$341 交易量
<1%
9°C
$186 交易量
<1%
10°C
$225 交易量
1%
11°C
$52 交易量
2%
12°C
$0 交易量
7%
13°C
$140 交易量
42%
14°C
$181 交易量
45%
15°C
$384 交易量
8%
16°C
$0 交易量
3%
17°C
$0 交易量
3%
18°C or higher
$130 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies like MetService and model consensus place Wellington’s August 27 maximum near 13–14 °C under increasing cloud, a 50 % rain chance, and shifting winds from northwesterlies to southerlies. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with the warmer northerly flow that produced 17 °C on August 23. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in frontal passage create genuine uncertainty between the two leading bins, keeping their implied probabilities nearly equal while higher or lower outcomes remain low-probability outliers. New model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the peak value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$1,640结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies like MetService and model consensus place Wellington’s August 27 maximum near 13–14 °C under increasing cloud, a 50 % rain chance, and shifting winds from northwesterlies to southerlies. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with the warmer northerly flow that produced 17 °C on August 23. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in frontal passage create genuine uncertainty between the two leading bins, keeping their implied probabilities nearly equal while higher or lower outcomes remain low-probability outliers. New model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the peak value before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 27 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,640结束日期
2026-08-27市场开放时间
Aug 25, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecast updates from agencies like MetService and model consensus place Wellington’s August 27 maximum near 13–14 °C under increasing cloud, a 50 % rain chance, and shifting winds from northwesterlies to southerlies. These conditions limit daytime heating compared with the warmer northerly flow that produced 17 °C on August 23. Ensemble spreads and minor timing differences in frontal passage create genuine uncertainty between the two leading bins, keeping their implied probabilities nearly equal while higher or lower outcomes remain low-probability outliers. New model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine the peak value before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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