Recent forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global models highlight increased cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow over Beijing on August 27, suppressing daytime heating and capping highs near 23–26°C. These conditions contrast with the market’s leading 28–29°C outcomes by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, though model spread on exact rainfall timing and intensity keeps 30°C viable if skies clear earlier. Late-August climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but the current disturbance aligns with historical analogs where similar patterns yield 2–4°C cooler peaks. Fresh model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月27日北京气温最高?
28°C 37%
29°C 37%
30°C 15%
31°C 12%
25°C or below
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
11%
28°C
24%
29°C
25%
30°C
15%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
28°C 37%
29°C 37%
30°C 15%
31°C 12%
25°C or below
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
11%
28°C
24%
29°C
25%
30°C
15%
31°C
12%
32°C
4%
33°C
5%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 25, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
If NOAA data is unavailable or missing for the observation period, Weather Underground will be used as the secondary resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast updates from the China Meteorological Administration and global models highlight increased cloud cover, light rain, and northerly flow over Beijing on August 27, suppressing daytime heating and capping highs near 23–26°C. These conditions contrast with the market’s leading 28–29°C outcomes by limiting solar insolation and enhancing evaporative cooling, though model spread on exact rainfall timing and intensity keeps 30°C viable if skies clear earlier. Late-August climatology shows typical highs near 30°C, but the current disturbance aligns with historical analogs where similar patterns yield 2–4°C cooler peaks. Fresh model runs and official briefings in the next 24–48 hours will refine resolution criteria for the daily maximum.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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