Heavy rain and increased cloud cover are the main near-term drivers capping trader-implied odds for Guangzhou’s August 25 maximum near 31–33 °C. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate monsoon-enhanced moisture and showers or thunderstorms that day, which limit daytime insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Historical August normals show a mean daily maximum of roughly 33 °C, yet the current pattern aligns more closely with cooler, wetter analogs that frequently produce 31–32 °C peaks. Model spread remains modest two days out, with the heaviest precipitation timing and any breaks in cloud cover the key variables that could shift the final reading by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from regional and global models expected before resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日广州气温最高？
8月25日广州气温最高？
32°C 27%
31°C 19%
33°C 19%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
2%
28°C
5%
29°C
7%
30°C
16%
31°C
19%
32°C
27%
33°C
19%
34°C
16%
35°C或更高
9%
32°C 27%
31°C 19%
33°C 19%
30°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
25°C或以下
$100 交易量
<1%
26°C
$75 交易量
2%
27°C
$75 交易量
2%
28°C
$147 交易量
5%
29°C
$0 交易量
7%
30°C
$3 交易量
16%
31°C
$2 交易量
19%
32°C
$59 交易量
27%
33°C
$40 交易量
19%
34°C
$0 交易量
16%
35°C或更高
$41 交易量
9%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rain and increased cloud cover are the main near-term drivers capping trader-implied odds for Guangzhou’s August 25 maximum near 31–33 °C. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate monsoon-enhanced moisture and showers or thunderstorms that day, which limit daytime insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Historical August normals show a mean daily maximum of roughly 33 °C, yet the current pattern aligns more closely with cooler, wetter analogs that frequently produce 31–32 °C peaks. Model spread remains modest two days out, with the heaviest precipitation timing and any breaks in cloud cover the key variables that could shift the final reading by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from regional and global models expected before resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$542结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Heavy rain and increased cloud cover are the main near-term drivers capping trader-implied odds for Guangzhou’s August 25 maximum near 31–33 °C. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate monsoon-enhanced moisture and showers or thunderstorms that day, which limit daytime insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Historical August normals show a mean daily maximum of roughly 33 °C, yet the current pattern aligns more closely with cooler, wetter analogs that frequently produce 31–32 °C peaks. Model spread remains modest two days out, with the heaviest precipitation timing and any breaks in cloud cover the key variables that could shift the final reading by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from regional and global models expected before resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$542结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETHeavy rain and increased cloud cover are the main near-term drivers capping trader-implied odds for Guangzhou’s August 25 maximum near 31–33 °C. Official guidance and ensemble forecasts indicate monsoon-enhanced moisture and showers or thunderstorms that day, which limit daytime insolation and promote evaporative cooling. Historical August normals show a mean daily maximum of roughly 33 °C, yet the current pattern aligns more closely with cooler, wetter analogs that frequently produce 31–32 °C peaks. Model spread remains modest two days out, with the heaviest precipitation timing and any breaks in cloud cover the key variables that could shift the final reading by 1–2 °C. Updated runs from regional and global models expected before resolution will likely refine these probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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