Current numerical weather prediction models position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's highest temperature on August 25, driven by typical late-August synoptic patterns featuring moderate northeasterly flow and sea-surface moderation from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. Ensemble forecasts from sources like the Met Office and regional models cluster daily maxima near 27–29°C, aligning with climatological averages of 27–28°C and limiting upside risk from heat advection. Minor disagreements in boundary-layer timing and urban heat-island effects explain the secondary weighting toward 27°C, while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low absent any developing warm anomaly. Updated high-resolution runs ahead of the event window will further refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月25日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
8月25日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
28°C 47%
27°C 35%
29°C 14%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
23°C or below
2%
24°C
5%
25°C
5%
26°C
7%
27°C
35%
28°C
47%
29°C
14%
30°C
5%
31°C
3%
32°C
3%
33°C or higher
4%
28°C 47%
27°C 35%
29°C 14%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-25
23°C or below
$5 交易量
2%
24°C
$5 交易量
5%
25°C
$5 交易量
5%
26°C
$0 交易量
7%
27°C
$7 交易量
35%
28°C
$35 交易量
47%
29°C
$12 交易量
14%
30°C
$26 交易量
5%
31°C
$10 交易量
3%
32°C
$7 交易量
3%
33°C or higher
$5 交易量
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's highest temperature on August 25, driven by typical late-August synoptic patterns featuring moderate northeasterly flow and sea-surface moderation from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. Ensemble forecasts from sources like the Met Office and regional models cluster daily maxima near 27–29°C, aligning with climatological averages of 27–28°C and limiting upside risk from heat advection. Minor disagreements in boundary-layer timing and urban heat-island effects explain the secondary weighting toward 27°C, while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low absent any developing warm anomaly. Updated high-resolution runs ahead of the event window will further refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
交易量
$116结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current numerical weather prediction models position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's highest temperature on August 25, driven by typical late-August synoptic patterns featuring moderate northeasterly flow and sea-surface moderation from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. Ensemble forecasts from sources like the Met Office and regional models cluster daily maxima near 27–29°C, aligning with climatological averages of 27–28°C and limiting upside risk from heat advection. Minor disagreements in boundary-layer timing and urban heat-island effects explain the secondary weighting toward 27°C, while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low absent any developing warm anomaly. Updated high-resolution runs ahead of the event window will further refine these market-implied odds.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$116结束日期
2026-08-25市场开放时间
Aug 23, 2026, 12:58 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current numerical weather prediction models position 28°C as the leading outcome for Istanbul's highest temperature on August 25, driven by typical late-August synoptic patterns featuring moderate northeasterly flow and sea-surface moderation from the Bosphorus and Sea of Marmara. Ensemble forecasts from sources like the Met Office and regional models cluster daily maxima near 27–29°C, aligning with climatological averages of 27–28°C and limiting upside risk from heat advection. Minor disagreements in boundary-layer timing and urban heat-island effects explain the secondary weighting toward 27°C, while probabilities for 30°C or higher remain low absent any developing warm anomaly. Updated high-resolution runs ahead of the event window will further refine these market-implied odds.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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