Official NWS forecasts for August 23 in New York City project a high near 82°F under mostly cloudy skies with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, particularly in the afternoon, creating the main driver for the near-even split between the 82–83°F (38.5%) and 80–81°F (36.5%) bins. Model consensus shows humid conditions with light winds shifting southwest, which can suppress peak readings if convection develops early or enhance them during breaks in cloud cover. Historical August norms around 82–84°F provide context, yet recent days’ variable precipitation and the inherent spread in short-term model runs sustain trader uncertainty between these closely matched outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 85°F or below 78°F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于纽约市8月23日的最高温度？
纽约市8月23日的最高温度？
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 37%
84-85°F 12%
78-79°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
73°F or below
1%
74-75°F
1%
76-77°F
3%
78-79°F
10%
80-81°F
37%
82-83°F
39%
84-85°F
12%
86-87°F
3%
88-89°F
3%
90-91°F
1%
92°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 39%
80-81°F 37%
84-85°F 12%
78-79°F 10%
最新
最新
2026-08-23
73°F or below
$143 交易量
1%
74-75°F
$20 交易量
1%
76-77°F
$15 交易量
3%
78-79°F
$141 交易量
10%
80-81°F
$177 交易量
37%
82-83°F
$154 交易量
39%
84-85°F
$98 交易量
12%
86-87°F
$49 交易量
3%
88-89°F
$30 交易量
3%
90-91°F
$30 交易量
1%
92°F or higher
$138 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts for August 23 in New York City project a high near 82°F under mostly cloudy skies with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, particularly in the afternoon, creating the main driver for the near-even split between the 82–83°F (38.5%) and 80–81°F (36.5%) bins. Model consensus shows humid conditions with light winds shifting southwest, which can suppress peak readings if convection develops early or enhance them during breaks in cloud cover. Historical August norms around 82–84°F provide context, yet recent days’ variable precipitation and the inherent spread in short-term model runs sustain trader uncertainty between these closely matched outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 85°F or below 78°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ET
交易量
$997结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official NWS forecasts for August 23 in New York City project a high near 82°F under mostly cloudy skies with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, particularly in the afternoon, creating the main driver for the near-even split between the 82–83°F (38.5%) and 80–81°F (36.5%) bins. Model consensus shows humid conditions with light winds shifting southwest, which can suppress peak readings if convection develops early or enhance them during breaks in cloud cover. Historical August norms around 82–84°F provide context, yet recent days’ variable precipitation and the inherent spread in short-term model runs sustain trader uncertainty between these closely matched outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 85°F or below 78°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=klga
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$997结束日期
2026-08-23市场开放时间
Aug 21, 2026, 11:56 PM ETOfficial NWS forecasts for August 23 in New York City project a high near 82°F under mostly cloudy skies with a 50% chance of showers and thunderstorms, particularly in the afternoon, creating the main driver for the near-even split between the 82–83°F (38.5%) and 80–81°F (36.5%) bins. Model consensus shows humid conditions with light winds shifting southwest, which can suppress peak readings if convection develops early or enhance them during breaks in cloud cover. Historical August norms around 82–84°F provide context, yet recent days’ variable precipitation and the inherent spread in short-term model runs sustain trader uncertainty between these closely matched outcomes while assigning low probability to extremes above 85°F or below 78°F.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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