Marine layer moderation and post-heat-wave cooling are anchoring trader expectations for a downtown Los Angeles high near 80 °F on August 21. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific has kept coastal and basin temperatures well below inland peaks, with National Weather Service guidance showing highs around 78 °F for the immediate Los Angeles area in the current forecast period. This aligns with the market’s heaviest concentration on the 78–81 °F bins (combined ~77.5 % implied probability). Typical late-August climatology supports moderate coastal readings around 80–85 °F absent strong offshore winds or ridging, while recent model consensus shows limited warming potential before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月21日洛杉矶气温最高?
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 12%
82-83°F 11%
73华氏度或以下
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或更高
<1%
80-81°F 48%
78-79°F 28%
76-77°F 12%
82-83°F 11%
73华氏度或以下
1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
12%
78-79°F
28%
80-81°F
48%
82-83°F
11%
84-85°F
3%
86-87°F
2%
88-89°F
<1%
90-91°F
<1%
92°F或更高
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 19, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 21 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marine layer moderation and post-heat-wave cooling are anchoring trader expectations for a downtown Los Angeles high near 80 °F on August 21. Persistent onshore flow from the Pacific has kept coastal and basin temperatures well below inland peaks, with National Weather Service guidance showing highs around 78 °F for the immediate Los Angeles area in the current forecast period. This aligns with the market’s heaviest concentration on the 78–81 °F bins (combined ~77.5 % implied probability). Typical late-August climatology supports moderate coastal readings around 80–85 °F absent strong offshore winds or ridging, while recent model consensus shows limited warming potential before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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