Recent forecasts from central China meteorological models place Wuhan's August 20 maximum near 33–35°C, driven by the persistent western Pacific subtropical high that promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong afternoon solar heating across the Yangtze River valley. This synoptic pattern, typical for mid-August, supports the market's clustered probabilities around those thresholds while limiting chances for extremes above 36°C or below 32°C. Key differentiating variables include precise timing of any scattered cloud build-up or weak frontal moisture that could shave 1–2°C off the peak, alongside local urban heat-island effects in the densely built city. Updated ensemble runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of the official station observation used for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日武汉气温最高？
8月20日武汉气温最高？
34°C 31%
35°C 26%
33°C 19%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
7%
32°C
11%
33°C
19%
34°C
31%
35°C
26%
36°C
11%
37°C
7%
38°C
4%
39°C or higher
1%
34°C 31%
35°C 26%
33°C 19%
32°C 11%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
29°C or below
$281 交易量
<1%
30°C
$127 交易量
<1%
31°C
$9 交易量
7%
32°C
$9 交易量
11%
33°C
$3 交易量
19%
34°C
$0 交易量
31%
35°C
$0 交易量
26%
36°C
$11 交易量
11%
37°C
$5 交易量
7%
38°C
$5 交易量
4%
39°C or higher
$17 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from central China meteorological models place Wuhan's August 20 maximum near 33–35°C, driven by the persistent western Pacific subtropical high that promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong afternoon solar heating across the Yangtze River valley. This synoptic pattern, typical for mid-August, supports the market's clustered probabilities around those thresholds while limiting chances for extremes above 36°C or below 32°C. Key differentiating variables include precise timing of any scattered cloud build-up or weak frontal moisture that could shave 1–2°C off the peak, alongside local urban heat-island effects in the densely built city. Updated ensemble runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of the official station observation used for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$468结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from central China meteorological models place Wuhan's August 20 maximum near 33–35°C, driven by the persistent western Pacific subtropical high that promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong afternoon solar heating across the Yangtze River valley. This synoptic pattern, typical for mid-August, supports the market's clustered probabilities around those thresholds while limiting chances for extremes above 36°C or below 32°C. Key differentiating variables include precise timing of any scattered cloud build-up or weak frontal moisture that could shave 1–2°C off the peak, alongside local urban heat-island effects in the densely built city. Updated ensemble runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of the official station observation used for resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$468结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETRecent forecasts from central China meteorological models place Wuhan's August 20 maximum near 33–35°C, driven by the persistent western Pacific subtropical high that promotes clear skies, light winds, and strong afternoon solar heating across the Yangtze River valley. This synoptic pattern, typical for mid-August, supports the market's clustered probabilities around those thresholds while limiting chances for extremes above 36°C or below 32°C. Key differentiating variables include precise timing of any scattered cloud build-up or weak frontal moisture that could shave 1–2°C off the peak, alongside local urban heat-island effects in the densely built city. Updated ensemble runs from the China Meteorological Administration and ECMWF over the next 48 hours will likely refine the consensus ahead of the official station observation used for resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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