Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Istanbul’s August 20 high reflects tight forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out, with models showing modest spread in peak values. Typical late-summer conditions feature highs near 28°C moderated by Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, yet subtle shifts in northerly flow versus transient high pressure can push readings 2–3°C higher or lower. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs indicate limited moisture and generally clear skies, but small timing differences in any weak frontal passage introduce the observed clustering; historical August extremes rarely exceed 32°C without strong regional heat advection. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月20日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
8月20日伊斯坦布尔的最高温度？
28°C 29%
26°C 25%
27°C 25%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
25%
27°C
25%
28°C
29%
29°C
14%
30°C
14%
31°C
7%
32°C
7%
33°C or higher
3%
28°C 29%
26°C 25%
27°C 25%
29°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-08-20
23°C or below
$21 交易量
<1%
24°C
$21 交易量
1%
25°C
$5 交易量
7%
26°C
$647 交易量
25%
27°C
$78 交易量
25%
28°C
$79 交易量
29%
29°C
$95 交易量
14%
30°C
$24 交易量
14%
31°C
$5 交易量
7%
32°C
$5 交易量
7%
33°C or higher
$5 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Istanbul’s August 20 high reflects tight forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out, with models showing modest spread in peak values. Typical late-summer conditions feature highs near 28°C moderated by Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, yet subtle shifts in northerly flow versus transient high pressure can push readings 2–3°C higher or lower. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs indicate limited moisture and generally clear skies, but small timing differences in any weak frontal passage introduce the observed clustering; historical August extremes rarely exceed 32°C without strong regional heat advection. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
交易量
$986结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Istanbul’s August 20 high reflects tight forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out, with models showing modest spread in peak values. Typical late-summer conditions feature highs near 28°C moderated by Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, yet subtle shifts in northerly flow versus transient high pressure can push readings 2–3°C higher or lower. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs indicate limited moisture and generally clear skies, but small timing differences in any weak frontal passage introduce the observed clustering; historical August extremes rarely exceed 32°C without strong regional heat advection. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 20 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$986结束日期
2026-08-20市场开放时间
Aug 18, 2026, 12:57 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus around 26–28°C for Istanbul’s August 20 high reflects tight forecast uncertainty just 48 hours out, with models showing modest spread in peak values. Typical late-summer conditions feature highs near 28°C moderated by Bosphorus and Marmara Sea breezes, yet subtle shifts in northerly flow versus transient high pressure can push readings 2–3°C higher or lower. Recent ECMWF and GFS runs indicate limited moisture and generally clear skies, but small timing differences in any weak frontal passage introduce the observed clustering; historical August extremes rarely exceed 32°C without strong regional heat advection. Updated model guidance expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the distribution ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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