Recent forecasts for Wellington on August 18, 2026, indicate a daytime maximum near 11°C, aligning closely with the long-term August average of 12°C driven by the city's exposed coastal position and prevailing southerly flows from the Southern Ocean. NIWA's seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures through the month, consistent with trader emphasis on 11–12°C outcomes. A recent pulse of polar air has kept conditions cool, with overnight lows dipping below 7°C in nearby areas, limiting daytime recovery potential amid typical winter cloud cover and wind patterns. Model consensus supports modest warming only if northerly influences strengthen, though current guidance favors stable, near-climatological readings without significant anomalies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月18日惠灵顿的最高温度？
8月18日惠灵顿的最高温度？
12°C 49%
11°C 42%
10°C 12%
9°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
6°C or below
1%
7°C
<1%
8°C
3%
9°C
6%
10°C
12%
11°C
42%
12°C
32%
13°C
5%
14°C
3%
15°C
<1%
16°C or higher
<1%
12°C 49%
11°C 42%
10°C 12%
9°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-18
6°C or below
$181 交易量
1%
7°C
$181 交易量
<1%
8°C
$5 交易量
3%
9°C
$5 交易量
6%
10°C
$0 交易量
12%
11°C
$0 交易量
42%
12°C
$42 交易量
32%
13°C
$18 交易量
5%
14°C
$0 交易量
3%
15°C
$105 交易量
<1%
16°C or higher
$105 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington on August 18, 2026, indicate a daytime maximum near 11°C, aligning closely with the long-term August average of 12°C driven by the city's exposed coastal position and prevailing southerly flows from the Southern Ocean. NIWA's seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures through the month, consistent with trader emphasis on 11–12°C outcomes. A recent pulse of polar air has kept conditions cool, with overnight lows dipping below 7°C in nearby areas, limiting daytime recovery potential amid typical winter cloud cover and wind patterns. Model consensus supports modest warming only if northerly influences strengthen, though current guidance favors stable, near-climatological readings without significant anomalies.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
交易量
$642结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts for Wellington on August 18, 2026, indicate a daytime maximum near 11°C, aligning closely with the long-term August average of 12°C driven by the city's exposed coastal position and prevailing southerly flows from the Southern Ocean. NIWA's seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures through the month, consistent with trader emphasis on 11–12°C outcomes. A recent pulse of polar air has kept conditions cool, with overnight lows dipping below 7°C in nearby areas, limiting daytime recovery potential amid typical winter cloud cover and wind patterns. Model consensus supports modest warming only if northerly influences strengthen, though current guidance favors stable, near-climatological readings without significant anomalies.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$642结束日期
2026-08-18市场开放时间
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETRecent forecasts for Wellington on August 18, 2026, indicate a daytime maximum near 11°C, aligning closely with the long-term August average of 12°C driven by the city's exposed coastal position and prevailing southerly flows from the Southern Ocean. NIWA's seasonal outlook assigns the highest probability (45%) to near-average temperatures through the month, consistent with trader emphasis on 11–12°C outcomes. A recent pulse of polar air has kept conditions cool, with overnight lows dipping below 7°C in nearby areas, limiting daytime recovery potential amid typical winter cloud cover and wind patterns. Model consensus supports modest warming only if northerly influences strengthen, though current guidance favors stable, near-climatological readings without significant anomalies.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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