Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate highs near 36°C in Taipei for August 15–16 amid persistent southwesterly flow and elevated moisture from the South China Sea, supporting trader emphasis on the 34–36°C range. Afternoon thundershowers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak readings, while the urban heat island effect and high humidity can amplify apparent temperatures on the CWA network. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where model consensus favors upper-30s Celsius unless stronger convection develops earlier in the day. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will refine the maximum-temperature outcome used for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月16日台北气温最高?
35°C 38%
34°C 27%
36°C 22%
33°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
27%
35°C
38%
36°C
22%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
35°C 38%
34°C 27%
36°C 22%
33°C 6%
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C
6%
34°C
27%
35°C
38%
36°C
22%
37°C
5%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 14, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Central Weather Administration forecasts indicate highs near 36°C in Taipei for August 15–16 amid persistent southwesterly flow and elevated moisture from the South China Sea, supporting trader emphasis on the 34–36°C range. Afternoon thundershowers and variable cloud cover introduce uncertainty in peak readings, while the urban heat island effect and high humidity can amplify apparent temperatures on the CWA network. These conditions align with late-summer patterns where model consensus favors upper-30s Celsius unless stronger convection develops earlier in the day. Updated guidance ahead of the weekend will refine the maximum-temperature outcome used for market resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



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