Persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects in Taipei are positioning 36°C as the leading outcome at 38% implied probability, consistent with August climatology where Central Weather Administration data show average highs near 33–34°C but frequent peaks to 35–37°C under clear, humid conditions. Recent seasonal forecasts highlight above-normal temperatures through mid-August following a drier July, with limited cloud cover and minimal typhoon influence expected to sustain daytime maxima in this range. Model runs indicate low afternoon thunderstorm probability on the 14th, reducing cooling potential and supporting the market's tight clustering around 35–37°C. Updated short-range guidance from official agencies will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月14日台北气温最高？
8月14日台北气温最高？
36°C 50%
35°C 26%
37°C 18%
34°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
28°C or below
1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
9%
35°C
26%
36°C
38%
37°C
18%
38°C or higher
4%
36°C 50%
35°C 26%
37°C 18%
34°C 9%
最新
最新
2026-08-14
28°C or below
$384 交易量
1%
29°C
$133 交易量
<1%
30°C
$77 交易量
1%
31°C
$13 交易量
1%
32°C
$32 交易量
3%
33°C
$3 交易量
6%
34°C
$0 交易量
9%
35°C
$14 交易量
26%
36°C
$21 交易量
38%
37°C
$33 交易量
18%
38°C or higher
$15 交易量
4%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects in Taipei are positioning 36°C as the leading outcome at 38% implied probability, consistent with August climatology where Central Weather Administration data show average highs near 33–34°C but frequent peaks to 35–37°C under clear, humid conditions. Recent seasonal forecasts highlight above-normal temperatures through mid-August following a drier July, with limited cloud cover and minimal typhoon influence expected to sustain daytime maxima in this range. Model runs indicate low afternoon thunderstorm probability on the 14th, reducing cooling potential and supporting the market's tight clustering around 35–37°C. Updated short-range guidance from official agencies will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$726结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects in Taipei are positioning 36°C as the leading outcome at 38% implied probability, consistent with August climatology where Central Weather Administration data show average highs near 33–34°C but frequent peaks to 35–37°C under clear, humid conditions. Recent seasonal forecasts highlight above-normal temperatures through mid-August following a drier July, with limited cloud cover and minimal typhoon influence expected to sustain daytime maxima in this range. Model runs indicate low afternoon thunderstorm probability on the 14th, reducing cooling potential and supporting the market's tight clustering around 35–37°C. Updated short-range guidance from official agencies will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$726结束日期
2026-08-14市场开放时间
Aug 12, 2026, 12:03 AM ETPersistent subtropical high pressure and urban heat island effects in Taipei are positioning 36°C as the leading outcome at 38% implied probability, consistent with August climatology where Central Weather Administration data show average highs near 33–34°C but frequent peaks to 35–37°C under clear, humid conditions. Recent seasonal forecasts highlight above-normal temperatures through mid-August following a drier July, with limited cloud cover and minimal typhoon influence expected to sustain daytime maxima in this range. Model runs indicate low afternoon thunderstorm probability on the 14th, reducing cooling potential and supporting the market's tight clustering around 35–37°C. Updated short-range guidance from official agencies will refine these odds ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
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