Trader consensus positions 78-79°F as the leading outcome for Seattle’s August 11 high temperature, driven by National Weather Service forecast models showing stable summer conditions with moderate onshore flow and limited upper-level ridging. Current ensemble guidance clusters daily maxima in this narrow band, consistent with climatological August averages near 76°F and recent observational trends indicating subdued heat advection from the Pacific. The 20% probability assigned to 80-81°F reflects residual uncertainty in short-term model runs, while cooler bins capture lower-end variability. Updated NOAA briefings and next model cycles remain key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if thermal profiles or wind patterns evolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日西雅图气温最高？
8月11日西雅图气温最高？
78-79°F 55%
76-77°F 21%
80-81华氏度 20%
82-83°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
71°F或以下
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
3%
76-77°F
21%
78-79°F
55%
80-81华氏度
20%
82-83°F
4%
84-85°F
2%
86-87°F
<1%
88-89°F
<1%
华氏90度或更高
<1%
78-79°F 55%
76-77°F 21%
80-81华氏度 20%
82-83°F 4%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
71°F或以下
$424 交易量
<1%
72-73°F
$686 交易量
<1%
74-75°F
$182 交易量
3%
76-77°F
$436 交易量
21%
78-79°F
$932 交易量
55%
80-81华氏度
$357 交易量
20%
82-83°F
$243 交易量
4%
84-85°F
$345 交易量
2%
86-87°F
$379 交易量
<1%
88-89°F
$866 交易量
<1%
华氏90度或更高
$573 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus positions 78-79°F as the leading outcome for Seattle’s August 11 high temperature, driven by National Weather Service forecast models showing stable summer conditions with moderate onshore flow and limited upper-level ridging. Current ensemble guidance clusters daily maxima in this narrow band, consistent with climatological August averages near 76°F and recent observational trends indicating subdued heat advection from the Pacific. The 20% probability assigned to 80-81°F reflects residual uncertainty in short-term model runs, while cooler bins capture lower-end variability. Updated NOAA briefings and next model cycles remain key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if thermal profiles or wind patterns evolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
交易量
$5,400结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus positions 78-79°F as the leading outcome for Seattle’s August 11 high temperature, driven by National Weather Service forecast models showing stable summer conditions with moderate onshore flow and limited upper-level ridging. Current ensemble guidance clusters daily maxima in this narrow band, consistent with climatological August averages near 76°F and recent observational trends indicating subdued heat advection from the Pacific. The 20% probability assigned to 80-81°F reflects residual uncertainty in short-term model runs, while cooler bins capture lower-end variability. Updated NOAA briefings and next model cycles remain key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if thermal profiles or wind patterns evolve.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Seattle-Tacoma International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/wa/seatac/KSEA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$5,400结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 9:03 PM ETTrader consensus positions 78-79°F as the leading outcome for Seattle’s August 11 high temperature, driven by National Weather Service forecast models showing stable summer conditions with moderate onshore flow and limited upper-level ridging. Current ensemble guidance clusters daily maxima in this narrow band, consistent with climatological August averages near 76°F and recent observational trends indicating subdued heat advection from the Pacific. The 20% probability assigned to 80-81°F reflects residual uncertainty in short-term model runs, while cooler bins capture lower-end variability. Updated NOAA briefings and next model cycles remain key catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if thermal profiles or wind patterns evolve.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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