Trader consensus points to a Cape Town high of 22°C on August 12 as the most probable outcome at 40.5% implied probability, with 21°C and 23°C close behind. This reflects the latest ensemble runs from global and regional models showing a transient ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and light northerly flow that lifts daytime maxima modestly above the long-term August mean of roughly 18–19°C. Recent surface observations and upper-air soundings confirm temperatures tracking 2–3°C warmer than climatology amid weak onshore moisture. Official South African Weather Service data and overnight model updates will determine final resolution, with any shift in steering patterns or cloud development able to alter the narrow 21–23°C window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月12日开普敦气温最高？
8月12日开普敦气温最高？
22°C 41%
21°C 24%
23°C 22%
20°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
16°C或以下
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
7%
21°C
24%
22°C
41%
23°C
22%
24°C
6%
25°C
2%
26°C或更高
1%
22°C 41%
21°C 24%
23°C 22%
20°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-12
16°C或以下
$33 交易量
<1%
17°C
$19 交易量
<1%
18°C
$13 交易量
1%
19°C
$246 交易量
2%
20°C
$445 交易量
7%
21°C
$500 交易量
24%
22°C
$1,926 交易量
41%
23°C
$213 交易量
22%
24°C
$157 交易量
6%
25°C
$130 交易量
2%
26°C或更高
$74 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus points to a Cape Town high of 22°C on August 12 as the most probable outcome at 40.5% implied probability, with 21°C and 23°C close behind. This reflects the latest ensemble runs from global and regional models showing a transient ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and light northerly flow that lifts daytime maxima modestly above the long-term August mean of roughly 18–19°C. Recent surface observations and upper-air soundings confirm temperatures tracking 2–3°C warmer than climatology amid weak onshore moisture. Official South African Weather Service data and overnight model updates will determine final resolution, with any shift in steering patterns or cloud development able to alter the narrow 21–23°C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
交易量
$3,756结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus points to a Cape Town high of 22°C on August 12 as the most probable outcome at 40.5% implied probability, with 21°C and 23°C close behind. This reflects the latest ensemble runs from global and regional models showing a transient ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and light northerly flow that lifts daytime maxima modestly above the long-term August mean of roughly 18–19°C. Recent surface observations and upper-air soundings confirm temperatures tracking 2–3°C warmer than climatology amid weak onshore moisture. Official South African Weather Service data and overnight model updates will determine final resolution, with any shift in steering patterns or cloud development able to alter the narrow 21–23°C window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$3,756结束日期
2026-08-12市场开放时间
Aug 10, 2026, 1:04 AM ETTrader consensus points to a Cape Town high of 22°C on August 12 as the most probable outcome at 40.5% implied probability, with 21°C and 23°C close behind. This reflects the latest ensemble runs from global and regional models showing a transient ridge of high pressure promoting clear skies and light northerly flow that lifts daytime maxima modestly above the long-term August mean of roughly 18–19°C. Recent surface observations and upper-air soundings confirm temperatures tracking 2–3°C warmer than climatology amid weak onshore moisture. Official South African Weather Service data and overnight model updates will determine final resolution, with any shift in steering patterns or cloud development able to alter the narrow 21–23°C window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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