Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate San Francisco’s August 10 high will likely fall in the low 70s, driven by persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer that moderates coastal temperatures through cold-water upwelling and westerly advection. Typical August climatology centers near 69 °F, but any thinning of the stratus deck or slight offshore shift could allow modest warming into the mid-70s, while stronger onshore winds or deeper fog would cap readings near 68–69 °F. With leading market bins clustered around 70–73 °F, traders are weighting the narrow range of model solutions and the historical rarity of extremes under prevailing summer marine conditions. Updated NWS forecasts tonight will refine the outcome ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日旧金山气温最高？
8月10日旧金山气温最高？
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 14%
74-75°F 12%
最新
$12,070 交易量
最新
$12,070 交易量
2026-08-10
65°F或以下
<1%
66-67°F
6%
68-69°F
14%
70-71°F
37%
72-73°F
29%
74-75°F
12%
76-77°F
5%
78-79°F
1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F或更高
<1%
70-71°F 37%
72-73°F 29%
68-69°F 14%
74-75°F 12%
最新
$12,070 交易量
最新
$12,070 交易量
2026-08-10
65°F或以下
$771 交易量
<1%
66-67°F
$1,189 交易量
6%
68-69°F
$1,419 交易量
14%
70-71°F
$1,278 交易量
37%
72-73°F
$1,103 交易量
29%
74-75°F
$1,158 交易量
12%
76-77°F
$890 交易量
5%
78-79°F
$491 交易量
1%
80-81°F
$1,070 交易量
<1%
82-83°F
$800 交易量
<1%
84°F或更高
$1,901 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate San Francisco’s August 10 high will likely fall in the low 70s, driven by persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer that moderates coastal temperatures through cold-water upwelling and westerly advection. Typical August climatology centers near 69 °F, but any thinning of the stratus deck or slight offshore shift could allow modest warming into the mid-70s, while stronger onshore winds or deeper fog would cap readings near 68–69 °F. With leading market bins clustered around 70–73 °F, traders are weighting the narrow range of model solutions and the historical rarity of extremes under prevailing summer marine conditions. Updated NWS forecasts tonight will refine the outcome ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
交易量
$12,070结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate San Francisco’s August 10 high will likely fall in the low 70s, driven by persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer that moderates coastal temperatures through cold-water upwelling and westerly advection. Typical August climatology centers near 69 °F, but any thinning of the stratus deck or slight offshore shift could allow modest warming into the mid-70s, while stronger onshore winds or deeper fog would cap readings near 68–69 °F. With leading market bins clustered around 70–73 °F, traders are weighting the narrow range of model solutions and the historical rarity of extremes under prevailing summer marine conditions. Updated NWS forecasts tonight will refine the outcome ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$12,070结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 9:05 PM ETRecent National Weather Service guidance and ensemble models indicate San Francisco’s August 10 high will likely fall in the low 70s, driven by persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer that moderates coastal temperatures through cold-water upwelling and westerly advection. Typical August climatology centers near 69 °F, but any thinning of the stratus deck or slight offshore shift could allow modest warming into the mid-70s, while stronger onshore winds or deeper fog would cap readings near 68–69 °F. With leading market bins clustered around 70–73 °F, traders are weighting the narrow range of model solutions and the historical rarity of extremes under prevailing summer marine conditions. Updated NWS forecasts tonight will refine the outcome ahead of tomorrow’s resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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