Current forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 11 likely settling between 17–19°C, with 18°C emerging as a frequent ensemble member amid ongoing warm advection from the south. Clear skies expected overnight will promote radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds limit mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, yet the current heatwave pattern and higher dew points are elevating the floor. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the tight contest between 17°C and 18°C outcomes, with updated runs ahead of resolution likely to sharpen trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日巴黎最低气温?
17°C 28%
18°C 27%
19°C 20%
16°C 11%
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
11%
17°C
28%
18°C
27%
19°C
12%
20°C
6%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C或更高
1%
17°C 28%
18°C 27%
19°C 20%
16°C 11%
14°C或以下
2%
15°C
7%
16°C
11%
17°C
28%
18°C
27%
19°C
12%
20°C
6%
21°C
3%
22°C
5%
23°C
5%
24°C或更高
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 9, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Current forecast models from Météo-France and ECMWF indicate overnight lows in Paris on August 11 likely settling between 17–19°C, with 18°C emerging as a frequent ensemble member amid ongoing warm advection from the south. Clear skies expected overnight will promote radiative cooling, while light northeasterly winds limit mixing and urban heat retention. Historical August minima average near 15–16°C, yet the current heatwave pattern and higher dew points are elevating the floor. Minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture and cloud timing creates the tight contest between 17°C and 18°C outcomes, with updated runs ahead of resolution likely to sharpen trader consensus.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于



警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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