A strong cold front supported by an upper-level trough is forecast to reach the southwestern Cape over the August 8–11 weekend, bringing cooler, cloudier, and potentially showery conditions that limit daytime heating in Cape Town. Official guidance and recent model runs point to maximum temperatures clustered around 18–20 °C, consistent with typical mid-winter values near 17 °C and the market’s tight distribution among those outcomes. Post-frontal onshore flow and residual moisture further suppress warming, while any brief clearing could allow a marginal push toward 21 °C. Updated South African Weather Service and global model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for shifts in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月11日开普敦气温最高？
8月11日开普敦气温最高？
19°C 54%
20°C 38%
18°C 20%
21°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
15°C或以下
4%
16°C
3%
17°C
12%
18°C
20%
19°C
35%
20°C
24%
21°C
17%
22°C
9%
23°C
3%
24°C
3%
25°C或更高
1%
19°C 54%
20°C 38%
18°C 20%
21°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-08-11
15°C或以下
$10 交易量
4%
16°C
$33 交易量
3%
17°C
$66 交易量
12%
18°C
$8 交易量
20%
19°C
$141 交易量
35%
20°C
$28 交易量
24%
21°C
$15 交易量
17%
22°C
$10 交易量
9%
23°C
$20 交易量
3%
24°C
$95 交易量
3%
25°C或更高
$16 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong cold front supported by an upper-level trough is forecast to reach the southwestern Cape over the August 8–11 weekend, bringing cooler, cloudier, and potentially showery conditions that limit daytime heating in Cape Town. Official guidance and recent model runs point to maximum temperatures clustered around 18–20 °C, consistent with typical mid-winter values near 17 °C and the market’s tight distribution among those outcomes. Post-frontal onshore flow and residual moisture further suppress warming, while any brief clearing could allow a marginal push toward 21 °C. Updated South African Weather Service and global model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
交易量
$442结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A strong cold front supported by an upper-level trough is forecast to reach the southwestern Cape over the August 8–11 weekend, bringing cooler, cloudier, and potentially showery conditions that limit daytime heating in Cape Town. Official guidance and recent model runs point to maximum temperatures clustered around 18–20 °C, consistent with typical mid-winter values near 17 °C and the market’s tight distribution among those outcomes. Post-frontal onshore flow and residual moisture further suppress warming, while any brief clearing could allow a marginal push toward 21 °C. Updated South African Weather Service and global model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for shifts in implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$442结束日期
2026-08-11市场开放时间
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETA strong cold front supported by an upper-level trough is forecast to reach the southwestern Cape over the August 8–11 weekend, bringing cooler, cloudier, and potentially showery conditions that limit daytime heating in Cape Town. Official guidance and recent model runs point to maximum temperatures clustered around 18–20 °C, consistent with typical mid-winter values near 17 °C and the market’s tight distribution among those outcomes. Post-frontal onshore flow and residual moisture further suppress warming, while any brief clearing could allow a marginal push toward 21 °C. Updated South African Weather Service and global model guidance expected in the next 24–48 hours will be the key catalyst for shifts in implied probabilities.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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