A cold front and associated upper trough approaching the Western Cape are the primary drivers positioning 15°C as the leading market-implied outcome for Cape Town’s August 10 maximum, with official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and models indicating highs near 15°C amid scattered clouds and light showers. This setup deviates from the climatological August average high of 17°C, reflecting stronger southerly flow and cooler marine air advection typical of winter frontal passages. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 14–16°C, with minimal risk of the 17°C+ thresholds that would require clearer, warmer conditions. Traders are monitoring the final SAWS and global model runs through August 9 for any late shifts in front timing or intensity before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月10日开普敦气温最高？
8月10日开普敦气温最高？
15°C 49%
16°C 27%
14°C 14%
17°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
10°C或以下
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
14%
15°C
49%
16°C
27%
17°C
6%
18°C
3%
19°C
1%
20°C或更高
1%
15°C 49%
16°C 27%
14°C 14%
17°C 6%
最新
最新
2026-08-10
10°C或以下
$90 交易量
<1%
11°C
$91 交易量
<1%
12°C
$74 交易量
1%
13°C
$76 交易量
4%
14°C
$126 交易量
14%
15°C
$189 交易量
49%
16°C
$178 交易量
27%
17°C
$151 交易量
6%
18°C
$96 交易量
3%
19°C
$62 交易量
1%
20°C或更高
$95 交易量
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front and associated upper trough approaching the Western Cape are the primary drivers positioning 15°C as the leading market-implied outcome for Cape Town’s August 10 maximum, with official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and models indicating highs near 15°C amid scattered clouds and light showers. This setup deviates from the climatological August average high of 17°C, reflecting stronger southerly flow and cooler marine air advection typical of winter frontal passages. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 14–16°C, with minimal risk of the 17°C+ thresholds that would require clearer, warmer conditions. Traders are monitoring the final SAWS and global model runs through August 9 for any late shifts in front timing or intensity before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
交易量
$1,228结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETThis market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.A cold front and associated upper trough approaching the Western Cape are the primary drivers positioning 15°C as the leading market-implied outcome for Cape Town’s August 10 maximum, with official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and models indicating highs near 15°C amid scattered clouds and light showers. This setup deviates from the climatological August average high of 17°C, reflecting stronger southerly flow and cooler marine air advection typical of winter frontal passages. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 14–16°C, with minimal risk of the 17°C+ thresholds that would require clearer, warmer conditions. Traders are monitoring the final SAWS and global model runs through August 9 for any late shifts in front timing or intensity before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Cape Town International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Cape Town International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/za/matroosfontein/FACT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$1,228结束日期
2026-08-10市场开放时间
Aug 8, 2026, 1:03 AM ETA cold front and associated upper trough approaching the Western Cape are the primary drivers positioning 15°C as the leading market-implied outcome for Cape Town’s August 10 maximum, with official forecasts from the South African Weather Service and models indicating highs near 15°C amid scattered clouds and light showers. This setup deviates from the climatological August average high of 17°C, reflecting stronger southerly flow and cooler marine air advection typical of winter frontal passages. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around 14–16°C, with minimal risk of the 17°C+ thresholds that would require clearer, warmer conditions. Traders are monitoring the final SAWS and global model runs through August 9 for any late shifts in front timing or intensity before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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