Recent Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model guidance indicate persistent high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula, sustaining elevated temperatures into August 8 amid an active heatwave. This setup favors daytime maxima near 34–36 °C at the Incheon station, with subtle differences among leading outcomes driven by forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, the timing and strength of any sea-breeze circulation from the Yellow Sea, and the potential for limited afternoon cloud cover or weak convection that could cap peak readings. Historical early-August climatology shows typical highs around 31 °C, so current anomalies reflect stronger-than-normal subsidence and urban heat retention, though small shifts in steering flow or moisture advection could easily move the outcome between the closely matched 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C bands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月8日首尔(仁川)气温最高?
35°C 31%
34°C 22%
36°C 22%
33°C 18%
31°C or below
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
18%
34°C
22%
35°C
31%
36°C
22%
37°C
9%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
35°C 31%
34°C 22%
36°C 22%
33°C 18%
31°C or below
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
18%
34°C
22%
35°C
31%
36°C
22%
37°C
9%
38°C
4%
39°C
1%
40°C
1%
41°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Aug 6, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent Korea Meteorological Administration and ensemble model guidance indicate persistent high-pressure ridging over the Korean Peninsula, sustaining elevated temperatures into August 8 amid an active heatwave. This setup favors daytime maxima near 34–36 °C at the Incheon station, with subtle differences among leading outcomes driven by forecast uncertainty in boundary-layer moisture, the timing and strength of any sea-breeze circulation from the Yellow Sea, and the potential for limited afternoon cloud cover or weak convection that could cap peak readings. Historical early-August climatology shows typical highs around 31 °C, so current anomalies reflect stronger-than-normal subsidence and urban heat retention, though small shifts in steering flow or moisture advection could easily move the outcome between the closely matched 34 °C, 35 °C, and 36 °C bands.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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