Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Shenzhen on August 6 most likely between 33–34 °C, supporting the close market-implied odds on those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers are the key variables that can suppress or allow brief radiative heating to reach those thresholds. Historical August averages near 32 °C and recent daily highs around 31 °C provide context, yet short-range model spread and potential steering influences from regional pressure systems create the narrow gap between the leading brackets. Updated guidance later today will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于8月6日深圳气温最高？
8月6日深圳气温最高？
34°C 41%
33°C 34%
32°C 10%
35°C 8.4%
最新
$50,283 交易量
最新
$50,283 交易量
2026-08-06
28°C或以下
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
3%
32°C
10%
33°C
34%
34°C
41%
35°C
8%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C或更高
<1%
34°C 41%
33°C 34%
32°C 10%
35°C 8.4%
最新
$50,283 交易量
最新
$50,283 交易量
2026-08-06
28°C或以下
$1,435 交易量
<1%
29°C
$2,078 交易量
<1%
30°C
$2,951 交易量
<1%
31°C
$6,297 交易量
3%
32°C
$2,171 交易量
10%
33°C
$9,790 交易量
34%
34°C
$4,417 交易量
41%
35°C
$10,349 交易量
8%
36°C
$5,376 交易量
3%
37°C
$1,981 交易量
1%
38°C或更高
$3,440 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Shenzhen on August 6 most likely between 33–34 °C, supporting the close market-implied odds on those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers are the key variables that can suppress or allow brief radiative heating to reach those thresholds. Historical August averages near 32 °C and recent daily highs around 31 °C provide context, yet short-range model spread and potential steering influences from regional pressure systems create the narrow gap between the leading brackets. Updated guidance later today will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间： Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
交易量
$50,283结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Shenzhen on August 6 most likely between 33–34 °C, supporting the close market-implied odds on those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers are the key variables that can suppress or allow brief radiative heating to reach those thresholds. Historical August averages near 32 °C and recent daily highs around 31 °C provide context, yet short-range model spread and potential steering influences from regional pressure systems create the narrow gap between the leading brackets. Updated guidance later today will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$50,283结束日期
2026-08-06市场开放时间
Aug 4, 2026, 12:03 AM ETRecent numerical weather prediction models from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration indicate a peak temperature in Shenzhen on August 6 most likely between 33–34 °C, supporting the close market-implied odds on those outcomes. Subtropical summer conditions with high humidity, light winds, and variable cloud cover or scattered showers are the key variables that can suppress or allow brief radiative heating to reach those thresholds. Historical August averages near 32 °C and recent daily highs around 31 °C provide context, yet short-range model spread and potential steering influences from regional pressure systems create the narrow gap between the leading brackets. Updated guidance later today will likely refine the exact maximum before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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